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- ECB's Kasimir : possible hikes, OBR risk to infl / JPM marks down credit portfolio-FT, Cliffwater / #CRM ! / Hormuz key!
Markets : G7 makes another 'verbal' crude intervention, wild swings on whether a cargo went through Hormuz or actually got hit (overnight chatters), conflict is not over and is likely to drag on, worse case : Hormuz is 'mined' by Iran..and this then takes months to resolve... >>> STIRT and bonds were holding up overnight, till short while ago on ECB member Kazimir signalling possible near-term hike(s), OBR in UK said same thing-inflation risk higher, Euribors -10 and bunds lower, + contagion across rates complex, risk didn't really care, yet, but very HARD to see it as positive development, on top of further 'private credit, credit' worries (spreading!), JPMorgan marks down loan portfolios of private credit groups- FT, U.S inflation up already in Feb, the USDollar will have a 'petrocurrency' moment, sooner or later..., not just oil : "No Helium, No Semiconductors", U.S has just 2months worth of rare earth supplies left >>> all in all, it is very hard to see risk/equity not having more downside pressure, rallies on 'Hurmuz hope' will be sold into (there is always a chance of a mini Trump rally-manipulation''... USD broadly speaking rangy ( risk-off bid vs long-term risk of losing its petrodollar status', credit risks are spreading (Cliffwater and others), Trump can TACO all he wants with the war, but it takes two to TANGO ! unlike Tariffs on-off which is just his silly game/decision.. Iran Lays Mines in Strait of Hormuz, Triggering U.S. Response. U.S. forces said they had destroyed 16 Iranian mine-laying vessels. (WSJ) British Airways, Lufthansa, Air France, KLM, Cathay Pacific, Singapore Airlines and several international airlines have suspended flights to Dubai , some saying until year-end... huh, pretty terrible state of affair, have a think for friends stuck over there ECB Hike Potentially Closer Than Thought, Kazimir Says - Bloomberg OBR warns energy price surge could derail UK inflation retreat JPMorgan marks down loan portfolios of private credit groups- FT By Investing.com Inflation in February: Prices expected to have held steady, but then war broke out Kremlin backs covert campaign to keep Viktor Orbán in power US official: ‘Not true’ Navy successfully escorted oil tanker through Strait of Hormuz - POLITICO China irked by last-minute scramble to plan Xi-Trump summit G-7 tasks IEA with preparing scenarios for oil-stockpile release There is no return to normal on oil any time soon LPG Crisis In India: How West Asia Tension Has Hit LPG Supply And What India Is Doing To Minimise The Impact | Explainers News - News18 US has two months of rare earth supplies left, SCMP reports - MINING.COM Iran War: Why Israel's Netanyahu Waited Until Now to Strike Cliffwater in market with $1B private credit secondary sale Volkswagen flags a tough year ahead as 2025 profit halves on tariffs, China competition Porsche aims to regain speed with cost cuts and combustion engines | Reuters Rheinmetall (RHM) FY earnings: Sales set to grow up to 45% in 2026 Salesforce Eyes Record $25B Debt Sale to Supercharge Buybacks - Forex News by FX Leaders
- Trump TACO'ed early..now a war he can't win and can't end? / Crude up & down 25%, risk rallies back, USD softens again
Markets : WATER CRISIS - Dependency on Desalination : Kuwait: 90% Israel: 75% Saudi Arabia: 70% Qatar: 50% UAE: 42% Iran: 2%, Iran is Trump's Vietnam, Kharg Island: Iran’s oil lifeline that Donald Trump has left untouched, Google, Meta, and Oracle are on a $1 trillion borrowing spree >> IRAN regime KNEW they needed an oil shock and thus a market sell-off to get a TACO..eventually...(admitting defeat in reality)..and they got it, pretty early, last night already (NO pain tolerance..).... relief for markets and folks locally....! the war isn't over, though they threw the kitchen sink at each other for 10days, in a VERY destructive way, for all involved...Trump panicked, changed goals, declared victory.. NO clean win whatever anyone says, in fact it's a war Trump can't win and can't end... it's been painful economically, that's for sure >>> The Iranians are most interested in delivering pain as directly to Trump as possible, it's the protracted war that Iran wanted, and the US and Israel are afraid of of it... you could argue it's now a crisis (less fierce in the short-term, but could last longer..), one can fear the goal from new radical Khamenei is to EXPULSE the U.S out of the Middle East.. IRAN WILL NOT accept ceasefire without guarantee another attack won't happen..>>> Crude up and down 30pct (totally nuts..really..), risk rallies again overnight, USD weaker as you would expect, This is really now calling for the end of U.S hegemony, dominance, even PETRODOLLAR's..., shorting USD again is what Mr Market will do... If Iran succeeds in pressing its advantage: “It will destroy the Trump presidency; it will destroy the GOP for a generation; and it would finally end the entrapment of the United States by its junior geopolitical ally.” While Trump builds military coalitions and bombs the Middle East, China just made its move. Wang Yi announces: zero tariffs on 100% of African imports, effective May 1st JP Morgan on how Operation Epic Fury would end: "Resource risk will begin to outweigh increasingly marginal military gains and the conclusion to the conflict will come down to the three M’s : Munitions, Markets and Midterms ." OpenAI's massive Stargate data center canceled as firm can't reach terms with Oracle, operator struggles with reliability issues — Meta said to be interested in snatching excess capacity Trump Delivers Mixed Messages on the State of the Iran War | TIME Clearly this, G7 and Crude prices.. TACO'ed .. Trump Advisers Urge Him to Find Iran Exit Ramp, Fearing Political Backlash. The president told reporters on Monday that he thought the war in Iran would be over ‘very soon’. (WSJ) The oil pipelines that could decide the Iran war | The Straits Times Kharg Island: Iran’s oil lifeline that Donald Trump has left untouched Trump says Iran’s new leader is “unacceptable.” China replies: the decision was made according to Iran’s Constitution, not Washington’s approval rating. That’s the real humiliation. Iranian Brigadier General Masoud Akhtari: “Because we destroyed the radars, Trump and Netanyahu are trapped in a slaughter house now in the Middle East. $150 per barrel of oil, which is coming will Cause global economic chaos”.... >>> Trump would like it to be over, the question is what does Iran really want...push all the way, get US out of ME... ? watch out.. Sumitomo Chemical declared force majeure yesterday, making it the fifth Asian chemical company in a single week . First Chandra Asri in Indonesia, then Yeochun NCC in South Korea. By March 5, Petrochemical Corporation of Singapore had declared force majeure on 1.1 million tons of ethylene capacity on Jurong Island. Aster followed a day later with its cracker running at half capacity. The root cause is the same for all five: naphtha, the feedstock these plants break down into the base chemicals behind plastics, rubber, and packaging. Asian steam crackers source most of their naphtha from the Middle East, and virtually all of it transits the Strait of Hormuz. When the Strait closed, all five lost their feedstock within days. Five force majeures in seven days. This is a massive disruption of the chemicals that hold the global economy together. Polymer prices are already up double digits. Everything downstream gets more expensive from here. China’s tariff-free trade offer boosts Africa’s global rise - CAJ News Africa Trump, Putin Talk of War and Peace as US Weighs Easing Russian Oil Sanctions Two Months for Gulf Oil Output to Fully Return After War Ends, Analyst Says Nice recap IMHO Sandeep Manudhane on X: "Iran War Update - - - 1) Trump's presser: Trump has chickened out completely, in just 10 days of Iran's not surrendering & fighting back. Personally, I don't think war is over. Trump tried pushing the responsibility to every adviser, as always. He realizes deep damage, and his" / X Clash Report on X: "Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: They thought that in a matter of two or three days they could go for regime change and achieve a rapid, clean victory, but they failed. So I believe that Plan A was a failure. And now they are trying other plans, but all of them have https://t.co/1KBJBxcpPp " / X War Monitor on X: "Just a reminder that Iran’s new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei has lost the following people in this war: - His father: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (killed in the opening strikes). - His mother: (Mentioned in multiple sources as killed in the same or related strikes). - His wife: https://t.co/TduX5QJ1QW " / X OpenAI's massive Stargate data center canceled as firm can't reach terms with Oracle, operator struggles with reliability issues — Meta said to be interested in snatching excess capacity | Tom's Hardware Google, Meta, and Oracle are on a $1 trillion borrowing spree | Fortune
- AMZN layoffs - AI / Hormuz has to reopen or else.. / Next for USD ?/ G7 meeting today - release of crude reserves at play
G7 Finance ministers will discuss a joint release of petroleum from reserves co-ordinated by the IEA in an emergency meeting on Monday. Iran appears to be demanding the unconditional withdrawal of US forces from the Middle East, the end of American military presence in West Asia, and the unconditional surrender of Israel >>> Operation Epic Fury is in danger of turning into Operation Epic Failure Markets : WTI trades up to $115 overnight (down to $100 again on G7 chatters), over 30 Iranian oil depots Israel bombed on Saturday without warning Washington about the real scale, America's NatGas bounty, Global Bond market sell-off!..nowhere to hide.. (higher oil, higher inflation - no more cut - stagflation) , The White house says/wants a 4-6weeks conflict, the mechanism says 6months or more (ONE OF THEM IS CATASTROPHICALLY WRONG..), 'The Strait of Hormuz was not closed by mines, missiles, or warships. It was closed by seven insurance letters' - The war ends when the reinsurance market says it ends. Not when the White House says it ends >>> A REMINDER that nothing really works for any length of time.. with $100-125 WTI for the world economy, nothing..!, so due to markets hurting bigly.. TRUMP will somehow TACO and retreat (WHEN, today, next week, next months?), take troops out of ME, say he's won the war-declare victory, and the new Iranian leader has 40years reign in front of him courtesy of Trump.., U.S can then focus on something else, Cuba maybe, THE PRESSURE TO REOPEN HURMUZ will be huge from here, the economic price is enormous if this last much longer.. The USDollar should / will weaken from here, once the short-term 'risk-off bid' goes away.. Bond markets tumbled in Asia trading as an oil price shock prompted investors to price in higher inflation and deteriorating economic growth ... #stagflation Yields on US Treasuries rose +7bps and expectations for the Fed’s next quarter point rate cut have been scaled back to September #AMZN Amazon made their 2,847 engineers spend 8 months documenting every code pattern, every debugging workflow, every optimization trick. Then fed it all to AI. Then fired them.. Trump's decision to bomb Iran is now the greatest windfall to the Russian war effort on record. If it continues, it might save the Russian war economy.. G7 to discuss joint release of emergency oil reserves Iran war: Israel targets 'regime infrastructure' Live updates: Iran names Mojtaba Khamenei as new supreme leader, state media reports State Department urges Americans across Mideast to depart as strikes continue StockMarket.News on X: "BREAKING: The United States just told Israel "WTF." Over 30 Iranian oil depots Israel bombed on Saturday without warning Washington about the real scale. A senior official said plainly: "We don't think it was a good idea." Here's why this matters more than you think. Trump's https://t.co/8xo6e6C2Ob " / X DD Geopolitics on X: "🚨🇮🇷 BREAKING: Iran has struck Orot Rabin in Hadera, Israel's largest power station. Complete power outage reported in Tel Aviv. Orot Rabin generates 2,590 MW, roughly 19% of Israel's total electricity capacity. It sits on the Mediterranean coast, 45 km north of Tel Aviv, and https://t.co/l0dGtOTTZw " / X Trump demands Iran relent as US aims to calm energy markets Trump Says US May Target New Parts of Iran in Escalating War China Consumer Inflation Hits 3-Yr High on Holiday Surge, Producer Deflation Lingers (1) Actuarial Warfare: How Seven Insurance Letters Closed the World’s Most Critical Chokepoint and Why Markets Are Mispricing Duration by 300% The White House says 4 to 6 weeks. The mechanism says 6 to 18 months. One of them is catastrophically wrong . The entire global allocation framework depends on which. Nine days into Operation Epic Fury, the kinetic campaign is succeeding by every traditional military metric. Iranian air defences are 80% destroyed. Missile launches are down 86% from opening-day peaks. Forty-three warships sunk. Three thousand targets struck. Air superiority achieved in 48 hours. Oxford Economics projects intense strikes wrapping within 1 to 3 weeks, settlement attempts within 2 months. Trump’s press secretary has repeated the 4 to 6 week timeline three times. None of this matters for the question that actually determines global market pricing. The war ends when the reinsurance market says it ends. Not when the White House says it ends Furkan Gözükara on X: "The Ultimate Humiliation: Imagine having a multi-billion dollar military budget, setting up bases in Kuwait to project power, and then having Kuwaiti TV openly broadcast that they are the ones protecting you. A generational embarrassment for Washington. Expel the bases. https://t.co/D5v2nbHvFx " / X America’s natural-gas bounty is cushioning US markets from global shocks Amazon layoff March 2026: 100 employees from Robotics fired, company says ‘difficult but necessary’ - Technology News | The Financial Express U.S. labor market lost 92,000 jobs in February, marking an unexpected setback for the economy - CBS News Knall: UBS-Bigshot August Hatecke vor dem Aus – Inside Paradeplatz March 8, 2026 vote: the result from across Switzerland - SWI swissinfo.ch One in five million-pound homes selling at a loss Peak sold prices suffer significant drops as high taxes crush the market
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- Family Office Services | Pure Value Metrics AG
discover our full range of Family Offices Services FAMILY OFFICE SERVICES Pure Value Metrics Multi-Family Office Services provide you with a 360° bespoke coverage MANAGEMENT, TRUSTS, LIFESTYLE & SWISS RESIDENCY SOLUTIONS Strategic Advice Assisting the Client in the development of strategies in family governance, succession planning and investment and asset management strategies in relation to the family’s business, investment and lifestyle assets. Managing Third Party Relationships Advising on the selection and appointment of third-party professionals to be engaged in connection with the affairs of the Client, including legal advisers, tax advisers, trustees, custodial banks, insurance specialists and property managers. Swiss Residency Solutions We assist our clients with relocation to Switzerland, if desired, through our network. Trust Solutions PVM coordinates the formation of Swiss-custodied trusts, anchoring both assets and trust oversight within Switzerland. Concurrently, the trust’s legal jurisdiction is strategically selected to optimize the client's specific international requirements* *PVM does not offer tax or legal advice, nor are we liable for any services provided by third parties. PRIVATE BANKING TRADING PVM offers you a professional trading experience; whether you are an active trader or prefer to take a more passive approach to investing; trade online with our partners award-winning platform's safe in the knowledge that PVM is there to support and guide you every step of the way. For an instant simulation and to get a feel for the Platform, click the button below (note: trading not enabled). Simulation For a more detail experience to simulate execution and order fulfilment create a demo profile by clicking the button below. Platform *PVM provides operational support and not financial advice Take advantage of our product expertise and operational support whilst trading on industry leading platforms Why trade with Pure Value Metrics Combining relationship management services with online execution platforms We assist with Client account set up, transfer of assets, execution through a limited power of attorney and tax returns We do not mark-up any fees for these services Be part of something larger - leverage us to achieve your goals Professional Tools Utilise our Partners multi-award winning platforms to enhance your trading experience Take advantage of advanced charting tools, option chains and algorithmic order execution Try 3rd party integrated technical strategies and conditional orders. Wait for the level in EURUSD and execute a straddle in Gold Access a huge array of Asset Classes and over 30,000 individual instruments
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Pure Value Metrics AG is a Global Equity Asset Manager based in Pfäffikon Switzerland specializing in Trusts Welcome to Pure Value Metrics Pure Value Metrics works with a broad selection of Global clients including, Family Offices / UHNWI, Corporates and Private Investors to offer innovative Multi-Family Offices Services, including Trusts with the Geopolitical Security of the assets in Switzerland, Asset Management and Trading solutions. Relative Value investing anchored by detailed balance sheet analysis PVM is an asset manager with a unique Investment Matrix dynamic portfolio selection process, which involves targeting single value stocks and then taking a deep dive into their balance sheets for financial robustness and then assessing their relative value both against their competitors and themselves, to determine the investment entry and exit point. PVM BITs BLOG Our daily round-up of Global Macro Market Trends and insightful news topics are offered with a free subscription Subscribe Blog China Manuf down / Ecuador now! / KOSPI : those 3x leveraged ETF's.. / All about, crude & Strait of Hormuz KOSPI / Big redemptions in Blackstone private credit fund / EU Nat Gas! / U.S urges citizens to leave 12 ME countries J. Safra Sarasin completes the acquisition of majority stake in Saxo Bank / U.S and OIL infrastructure hit across Middle East Media Apperances PVM CIO on CNBC PVM & Bloomberg on Global Macroeconomics Please reach out to discuss your requirements Contact us / Visit our office
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ASSET MANAGEMENT Using our unqiue relative value based Investment Matrix we build investment portfolio's with superior metrics realative to main stream equity indices We currently have two different Portfolio offerings; firstly our classical Long only Global Equity model (suitable for all investors), and a Multi-Asset Class model, designed to generate additional alpha (suitable for Professional and Institutional clients only). We deliver discretionary portfolio management through individually segregated accounts held in your name. This flexible mandate empowers you to complement our core PVM Investment Matrix Portfolio by actively incorporating listed securities of your own selection. PVM Global Equity Long Strategy Type Long Only Global Equity Suitable for All Investors Focus Absolute return/low risk Minimum Investment 250k CHF 2025 Performance 21% Performance over 10 years 102% More PVM Global Multi-Asset Strategy Type Multi-Asset Class Suitable for Qualified Investors Focus Absolute return Minimum Investment 250k CHF 2025 Performance 26% Performance over 10 years 170% More Our Investment Philosophy Investment Matrix Fundamental Design In 2015 we developed our dynamic Investment Matrix consisting of many fundamental variables, designed to identify value opportunities within Global Equities. Our Investment Matrix is constructed to identify and establish sustainable value. There are many reasons why that value may also not be sustainable, such as changing consumer sentiment or spending more on share buybacks than current cashflow permits, the PVM Investment Matrix reacts to these changes. Algorithmic Processes Systematic Throughout We utilise proprietary algorithmic screening, with a high degree of automation, to analyse the global equity universe, monitor our Clients' Portfolios, and identify new opportunities. Furthermore, we use algorithmic execution tools when buying and selling our clients' portfolios, where appropriate. Qualitative Rationale Deeper Understanding Driven by deep analysis of balance sheets and employing further levels of qualitative analysis, results in a thorough understanding of the companies we invest in. We consider factors, such as; the mix of Goodwill and Intangibles to Net Equity, tracking deviations from recognized Accounting Standards and taking a broader view of the global economic landscape. Robust Returns, less Risk Better Together The combination of quantitative systematic analysis, overlaid with qualitative reviews and active management within clearly defined parameters, results in an investment model which is both robust and not easy to replicate. Stable returns are achieved by taking less investment risk, at higher valuations. Investment Process We believe that an uncompromising investment process is a key component in delivering consistent returns.


