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The CEO of a $380 billion company just went on camera and said the world is not ready for what his own technology is about to do. Not a competitor warning you and not a regulator. The man who BUILT it This is Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, company behind Claude. He just compared AI to a tsunami on the horizon.... Markets : The Rothschilds group exposed (Epstein files..there will be plenty more 'celebrity' like casualties), Tech stocks struggle still (sell rallies, reduce risk in that sector still.. #NVDA price action in the first 45mins is always key post earnings - set the tone for the day and possible more.., #AI bonus ?.. ' Block cuts nearly half the staff' (like Musk at Twitter, Bezos, MSFT, Intel, and MANY others....!, Global Smartphone market will contract by 15%, Barclays, Santander, Wells Fargo in Street lenders exposed to failed UK-based MFS (another cockroach..), Anthropic will refuse Pentagon's demands (no messing around!), Bain Capital’s Rufino Warns Software Default Rate Risks Hitting Double Digits, Even Sam Altman is admitting it now. Some companies are using "AI" as cover for plain old layoffs, #META's internal research shows its platforms are addictive and harmful, and they still targeting teens..! >>> NVDA traded $200+ after hours, eventually whole sector struggled there after (weak #priceaction), FX all pretty quiet, bonds quiet, plenty of credit casualties out there (more cockroaches to appear.. ), play accordingly.. rotation into precious metals, hard assets type companies continues, #RARE #URA #EMG etc Geopolitics : Iran says 'good progress' in U.S talks, next round within a week, Pakistan has announced the start of an open war with Afghanistan: overnight airstrikes targeted Taliban positions "Deutsche Bank AG and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are looking to agentic artificial intelligence to help bolster trading surveillance and track possible misconduct." (BN) Reuters reports that rare earth shortages are worsening for US aerospace and semiconductor firms, namely 'rare earths such as yttrium and scandium' which are 'almost entirely produced in China'. >>> Thread - To build a data centre the size of Manhattan, as Mr. Zuckerberg intends to, we need some metals that you’ve probably never heard of in quantities than you cannot fathom… #rare Edmond de Rothschild Group said its weighing up the matter after the scope of CEO Ariane de Rothschild’s links to convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein were revealed in documents made public by the US DOJ Vanguard reaches settlement with Texas in key case on ESG investing . Republican-led states accused the US’s largest index fund managers of conspiring to reduce coal emissions, finally them, ..all are made to pay for their lies.. Another cockroach .. Barclays, Santander, Wells Fargo in Street lenders exposed to failed UK-based MFS - report StockMarket.News on X: "The CEO of a $380 billion company just went on camera and said the world is not ready for what his own technology is about to do. Not a competitor warning you and not a regulator. The man who BUILT it This is Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, company behind Claude. He just https://t.co/YfkG2Wusie " / X Nvidia Shares Slide After Forecast Underwhelms Investors Meta’s Internal Research Shows Its Platforms Are Addictive and Harmful, Still It Targets Teens - The HighWire Pakistan Afghanistan War Live Updates: Iran offers to help 'facilitate dialogue' between Afghanistan, Pakistan - The Times of India New Iran Talks Set for Next Week as US Builds Up Forces - SWI swissinfo.ch Bain Capital’s Rufino warns software default rate risks hitting double digits Fire half the staff, and shares rally..reward top management, not workers.. #AI impact.. sounds like fun..?.... Jack Dorsey Struck an 'Empathetic' Tone With Block's Massive Layoffs - Business Insider Pretty crazy... It turns out Jack Dorsey's Block $XYZ  spent $68 million on a single party in September 2025, roughly the annual payroll for 200 employees at $340,000 each., 5months later he fires 50% of staff.. Vanguard reaches settlement with Texas in key case on ESG investing Global smartphone market to contract 12.9% amid memory chip shortage By Investing.com Iran says 'good progress' in US talks, next round within a week Edmond de Rothschild Group Monitors CEO's Epstein Links | Business UK local election The End of Starmer – Gorton and Denton Edition – Blonde Money ''Ex-MI6 Chief Sir Richard Dearlove says Zack Polanski is a threat to Britain's defence and national security'' Robert Friedland on X: "To build a data center the size of Manhattan, as Mr. Zuckerberg intends to, we need some metals that you’ve probably never heard of in quantities than you cannot fathom… These metals are not just 1 or 2 letters on your periodic table that you glanced at while daydreaming in https://t.co/0SNKfheX3V " / X Going to make a film of it soon ! Bull Theory on X: "This is SHOCKING. Jane Street’s secret trading technique is to accumulate shares, then dump them in seconds to crash the price and profit from shorts. They ran the same 10 AM manipulation algo in Indian markets and made $4.23 billion, which led to a temporary ban by the https://t.co/0rnYtz3kKz " / X Javier Blas on X: "Goodness, this is truly shocking: UK households energy debt is on track to reach ~£7 billion (~$9.5 billion) by the end of 2026, the industry's trade body said. "Unprecedented levels of customer debt and arrears are threatening the future of the retail energy market," it said." / X

The Defense Production Act has been used to make masks, ventilators, and baby formula. On Friday at 5:01  p.m., the Pentagon plans to invoke it to strip safety features from an AI. Markets : Catastrophising credit ? or time tp panic?..FT (reminder... ''if you are going to panic, then best to panic early'' , CLO equity funds are 'crashing', Google searches for “can’t sell house” just hit an all time HIGH, private( credit is this cycle's sub-prime, Trump to Hike Tariff to 15% ‘Where Appropriate,’ Greer Says, A chip maker in the Netherlands just raised $250m to take on Nvidia. Ineffable is raising $1bn to take on the frontier labs OLIX raised $200m to also take on Nvidia. Europe is awakening...finally..! no longer content with just dominating the application layer, they coming after the full stack.... #valuation #QQQ,   EU-UK Competition Cooperation Agreement signed >>> overall, IMHO, WE ARE in the very early innings of a few things going badly wrong (risk IS that credit is the new sub-prime...).. could be snowballing down the hill anytime int he near future..play accordingly over next few weeks-months.. Geopolitics : Kim Jong Un decries US 'tyranny' but hints at room for improved ties North Korea doubles down on nuclear portion of 'basic security' at party congress , Hungarian opposition groups quit to make way for Orbán challenger, Rubio and Vance warn of Iran's threat ahead of talks #AI  killed software engineers, QA testers, financial analysts, recruiters, paralegals, support agents, designers, marketers, consultants, and writers What's next? HR.. Japan's number of babies born marks record low for 10th straight year Dutch AI inference chipmaker Axelera AI raises $250M - Tech.eu Good! EU and UK agree to cooperate closely on competition matters Anthropic faces Friday deadline in Defense AI clash with Hegseth Catastrophising credit? FT: “.. Holy moly. These are big global financial crisis-like — or at least dotcom-bust-like — numbers. While we haven’t spotted a time horizon for the forecast, we’ve whacked them onto this chart of historic default rates to give you a sense ..” (1) Is Private Equity Having A WeCrash Moment? Global Markets Investor on X: "🚨CLO equity funds are CRASHING: CLOs (Collateralized Loan Obligations) bundle corporate loans into packages and sell different layers of risk to investors, with the riskiest layer absorbing losses first. Funds holding this riskiest layer, including Eagle Point FELL up to -40% https://t.co/zIiRCkxzWm " / X Nvidia: Another Blockbuster Earnings Report (Rating Upgrade) (NASDAQ:NVDA) | Seeking Alpha Exclusive-Rare Earth Shortages Worsen in US Aerospace, Chips Despite Trade Truce, Sources Say Hungarian opposition groups quit to make way for Orbán challenger US: Rubio and Vance warn of Iran's threat ahead of talks Trump to hike tariffs to 15% "where appropriate," US trade rep says | National Post Mehdi Hasan on X: "The Trump State of the Union speech in two minutes. You're welcome. https://t.co/SyJd2TiF6V https://t.co/RtHXLkSrXF " / X Such a wonderful speech it has to be said.......... Hegseth pressures Anthropic to give military broader access to its AI tech, AP source says | AP News NoLimit on X: "🚨 Google searches for “can’t sell house” just hit an ALL-TIME HIGH. Higher than 2008. Higher than COVID. Higher than anything we’ve ever seen. We all know what that means… https://t.co/h9zxnL1AQa " / X UBS-Shooting-Woman zerschlägt die Informatik – Inside Paradeplatz UK Stock Market News: Ocado, Rolls-Royce, Howden

Markets : focus on PRIVATE credit , it IS definitely a BIG part of the puzzle for risk going forward, 15.4% of investment grade debt is tied to AI, making it the largest sector in the credit market, per JP Morgan (whaoo), Boaz Weinstein said turmoil at Blue Owl is exposing deeper cracks in the $1.8 trillion industry, let's face it, no-one really knows how bad or big it is out there , Anthropic also links Ai agent with tools for Investment Banking, HR..., German dentists’ pension fund loses nearly half its assets, raising concerns over governance, oversight, and risk management in Germany’s profession-based pension system (PRIVATE loans, unlisted companies...etc etc >>> Bessent 'had' to check USDJPY rates to stop JPY from weakening, which pushed JGB yields much higher, dragging UST yields higher too, really worrying 'private credit' , NVDA after the bell now ! Gold, precious metals showing renewed signs of strength Insurers are increasingly holding Level 3 assets on their books. 18% of fixed income holdings in aggregate, with some exceeding 30% (36% of Athene's assets are Level 3). The concern here is opacity of said assets (and whether they are sellable at par if needed) / Thread Good Thread / take on private credit: "Private wealth flows are pro-cyclical ''They love income when volatility is low, they demand liquidity when volatility spikes."...A lot of paper wealth been leveraged out there UBS’s Matt Mish lays out a scenario for credit involving “rapid, aggressive AI disruption.” US high yield, leveraged loan & private credit default rates could rise to 3–6%, 8–10%, & 14–15%, respectively: Mish. “Defaults could approach ~$420bn, w/losses of roughly ~$300bn” Trump said Iran is working to reconstitute its nuclear program in his State of the Union address, pledging to “never allow” Tehran to have a weapon. While the comments added to speculation about potential US military action, the president also reiterated his desire for a diplomatic solution. (BBG) USDJPY 'check' and UST yields : Bessent is much more of a trader (and yet also much more political) than most Treasury secretaries ...This makes sense as Bessent wants to enforce his "put" in the long end. Bessent knows that for there to be a durable top in long end yields, USDJPY upside has to be contained. That was the message of the Dec-Jan duration sell off. And now.. might happen again..? Yen weakens after Sanae Takaichi picks dovish candidates for Bank of Japan Trump latest: President makes 'third term' claim in longest ever state of the union address | US News | Sky News Boaz Weinstein sounds the alarm on private credit: 'the wheels are coming off' (PCMM:NASDAQ) | Seeking Alpha Fed's Cook Says AI Triggering Big Changes, Sees Possible Short-Term Unemployment Rise Fed's Goolsbee Says Tariff Ruling Could Help Cool Inflation US Warns Anthropic to Allow Unrestricted Use of AI by Military | Financial Post Anthropic Links AI Agent With Tools for Investment Banking, HR - Bloomberg Leyla on X: "Go read this. 1. Insurers are increasingly holding Level 3 assets on their books. 18% of fixed income holdings in aggregate, with some exceeding 30% (36% of Athene's assets are Level 3). The concern here is opacity of said assets (and whether they are sellable at par if" / X German pension fund collapse sparks questions on oversight of €300 billion industry – Firstpost boaz weinstein on X: "The way the wheels are coming off the car in the equities of private credit managers, (and the investors who hold them - look at LNC today), public credit looks absurdly rich. This might surprise, but Saba Capital is long stock in BX, ARES, APOL, and also OWL! We sold down a" / X junkbondinvestor on X: "PE exits hit $717B last year. Sounds great, right? Actually 7 deals made up a fifth of that total. Deal count actually fell 2%. The industry isn’t recovering. A handful of mega-exits are masking that everyone else is stuck. https://t.co/ZSAKFbxtIn " / X The IRS says Meta now owes nearly $16 billion in taxes Why unemployment in Switzerland is increasing more than elsewhere in Europe - SWI swissinfo.ch

#AI .. There’s an increasingly dystopian tone to commentary on AI. Fed Gov Waller today: “The thing with AI is it’s coming at us so fast….that it’s easy to start seeing jobs that may go away before you see the new jobs that are going to be created.” >>> IMHO, AI bubble will come with further big test, China is using a totally different approach to AI: - open source, mass scale, cheap vs The West approach to AI which is close source, private, profit driven, only the big Tech Bro's benefit... Markets : trade tensions, volatile tariffs dynamics (chaotic!), AI disruption weighing on sentiment, Governments should tax AI to cushion the impact of sweeping job losses, Alap Shah, co-author of the Citrini report (indeed they should, and fast), FedEx sues for refund of Trump tariffs (the 1st of many, law firms the big winners!) , Bessent initiated 'USDJPY check', Iceland to Fast-Track EU accession referendum to August, instead of the originally planned 2027 vote >>> USD picks up a little, EURUSD 1.19-1.20 top for now, USDJPY better big again (markets not worried about Bessent's check), risk overall remains a 'reduce' crowded tech/AI trade on rallies, BTC grinding lower still Geopolitics : Trump said an Iran strike would be “easily won,” but he’d prefer a diplomatic deal, rebuffing reports that the Pentagon was concerned about a potential war.  (BBG), Panama moves to occupy canal ports after court scraps CK Hutchison deal, Ukraine-Hungary dispute escalates over Russian oil flows Jamie Dimon said rival banks are doing “dumb things” to boost income as he noted similarities to the pre-2008 crisis era. He told investors the credit cycle will sour again. He sees JPMorgan as a winner in the AI race FedEx sues for refund of Trump tariffs after Supreme Court ruling Tariff chaos is back as Europe-U.S. trade deal is in question Iceland may fast-track vote on joining EU: report Ukraine-Hungary dispute escalates over Russian oil flows Jamie Dimon Warns of Risky Lending As Competition Heats up - Business Insider Donald Trump’s global tariff takes effect at 10% Bitcoin falls to nearly $64,000 as 2026 crypto woes continue Panama moves to occupy canal ports after court scraps CK Hutchison deal | World News - Business Standard US Treasury Secretary initiated January's yen-dollar rate check: sources - Nikkei Asia China puts Japanese companies on export control lists as tensions rise China leaves benchmark lending rates unchanged as Beijing signals tolerance for stronger yuan Taleb, Citrini fuel AI scare trade as IBM drops most in 25 years NASA's Artemis II launch date gets pushed back again France curtails US Ambassador Kushner's government access after he fails to obey summons - France 24 Lord Mandelson arrested on suspicion of misconduct in public office Salvage begins of Swiss train derailed by avalanche - SWI swissinfo.ch

Richard-Mark Dodds, chief investment officer of Swiss fund manager Pure Value Metrics, who had previously predicted the Credit Suisse failure now talks about Markets and Relative Value in 2023. To view the video on Credit Suisse's demise, press here .

Markets : Alts assets managers pulse check #BlueOwl #Apolo etc, #AI didn't make knowledge worthless, it made access to knowledge worthless, Ai has infinite 'knowledge' and zippo common sense nor wisdom !!, IS and Ai price war about to begin ??.. . (play accordingly), #Crude reacts to Iran threats as it should (6months highs) , Les Wexner's full deposition on Epstein investigation (confirms a lot of things..), Nvidia and OpenAI abandon unfinished $100bn deal in favour of $30bn investment, |  Pardoned Binance Founder Hobnobs With Trump Sons and Administration Officials at Mar-a-Lago Crypto Fest ... !! >>> equity markets continue to hold' overall, huge rotations though still going on, Alts fund managers now under pressure, it seems we go from one weakness/sector to another (unwinding? hedging? bigger things to come ?) , FX pretty quiet with bonds, VIX had a meaningful move up, but no consequences, yet anyway, crude the natural 'Iran' clean bet.. Geopolitics : Trump just announced the U.S. will send $10 BILLION to his so-called “Board of Peace.” An offshore entity he controls. Where he’s chairman for life (grifting..outright illegal) , Trump warns of 'bad things' if Iran doesn't make a deal as US ramps up military presence Blue Owl curbs investor liquidity following asset sale, reminiscent of mid 2007/2008 and how it started, beware IF it spreads... it's all about the building blocks underneath.. perhaps the #IGV sell-off is some sorts of hedge (techs/SaaS private assets...), British authorities have reportedly begun sending Pam Bondi copies of Prince Andrew's emails collected after his arrest with notes that say, "Since you spilled black all over your copies, here are fresh, uncensored copies that will help you finally arrest someone!" | Advisers Want Trump to Focus on the Economy. It’s Easier Said Than Done. Foreign policy draws the president’s attention while voters raise concerns about the cost of living. (WSJ) Trump warns of 'bad things' if Iran doesn't make a deal as US ramps up military presence Oil Rises to Highest Since August on Iran Conflict Concerns Ukraine war live: Over 1,000 Kenyans to fight in Putin’s war Is an AI price war about to begin? Trump says U.S. will contribute $10 billion to Board of Peace - CBS News Can't make this up.. Pardoned Binance founder hobnobs with Trump sons, administration officials at Mar-a-Lago crypto fest Christine Lagarde intends to complete her term at | GBAF Change of mind.. Blue Owl curbs investor liquidity following private loans sale Blue Owl Sold Private Loans to Pension Giants and Own Insurer - Bloomberg Apollo Seeks to Reassure Clients About Rowan’s Epstein Ties - Bloomberg Apollo’s $27.5 Billion Panic Two powerful teachers’ unions demand SEC investigation. Hint at massive pullout. “Apollo Seeks to Reassure Clients About Rowan’s Epstein Ties” Top Traders Unplugged Podcast - GM97: Why Isn’t Anything Breaking? ft. Steen Jakobsen | Free Listening on Podbean App The crypto-loving billionaire and the $400mn ‘perfect fraud’ A White House advisor wants economists 'disciplined' for tariff study Advisers want Trump to focus on the economy. It’s easier said than done. Nvidia and OpenAI abandon unclosed $100 billion deal in favor of $30 billion investment - Goo Goo Read | Coo-coo-reading Johnson & Johnson explores $20 billion sale of orthopedics unit, Bloomberg News reports Mark Zuckerberg to testify in Meta social media addiction trial Billionaire Les Wexner tells lawmakers he was 'conned' by Epstein and did 'nothing wrong' Oversight Committee on X: "🚨 BREAKING: The House Oversight Committee is releasing the FULL deposition video of Les Wexner from our Epstein investigation. No spin. The American people deserve to see the testimony for themselves—transparency matters. Link to full deposition below 👇🏻 https://t.co/TeJ50JAFnl " / X Clash Report on X: "French President Macron: Free speech is a pure bullshit if nobody knows how you are guided through this so-called free speech—especially when it is to be guided from one hated speech to another hated speech. I just want to have a transparent road through these different https://t.co/pFAQ62SsxU " / X he's right.. what free speech... “free speech” is meaningless if the algos behind it aren’t transparent.... and clearly they are not.. all we have is some kind of ''guided speech'' these voices, kind of people (political usually) are boosted, others shadow‑banned, and we don’t 'really' know why (based on which ever web page we click on..etc)...calling that free speech is simply wrong or misplaced IMHO..

Geopolitics : US Gathers the most Air Power in the Mideast since the 2003 Iraq invasion  , The US will withdraw all of its remaining troops from Syria over the next two months, Dutch company built a new drone carrier in Romania for the Portuguese fleet! European Navy rising Markets : Fed minutes reveal discussion of a possible rate hike if inflation doesn’t cool, minutes also confirmed 'rate check' in USDJPY last month at the behest of the Treasury, Quantum threat to BTC (Saylor..), Over 80% of companies report no productivity gains from AI so far despite billions in investment >>> USD picks up a little bit of strength on FED minutes (talks of hike as well as int rate cut-mixed), risk overall stays firm, metals rebounded (bit wild yesterday again), GOLD back to $5K+, QQQ underperforming as it should, rotation etc.. will Europe have a proper go at social media and big techs ?.. it certainly is a card they can play vs U.S into mid-terms.. (trade and geopolitics, Russia, Iran etc).. many seems to think something big is happening with Iran.. (>>if anything crude should react..!..), let's see after earnings what Walmart can do form here, it is already on a 45 P/E.. #IBKR CEO: "So margin loans have been on roughly 10% to 12% of client assets. And to tell you, frankly, I get nervous when margin loans rise too quickly" Putin really going for it now, setting the stage for a full shut down of Russian internet, even crafting the law so that the Duma can't prevent it France to sell India 114 Rafale jets in a massive 90 billion Euro deal production will be localised to India to finalise the deal IMF calls on China to halve industrial subsidies Trump’s Board of Peace to pledge $5bn to rebuild Gaza  | Yet Hamas would need to disarm before a peace plan can get under way. (WSJ) Anthropic's CEO Dario Amodei: There are only a small number of years before AI models surpass the cognitive capabilities of most humans at most things... America’s Military Buildup Around Iran: What We Know and What It Means - Middle East Forum Russia-Ukraine talks to resume in Geneva as US claims 'meaningful' progress Delegations from the United Kingdom and France showed up to the Geneva negotiations without being invited and completely shifted the dynamic. The original plan between Trump and Russia was to corner Ukraine. That strategy just ran into London and Paris. They sent a clear message: no deals about Europe without Europe Putin könnte Internet in Russland komplett abschalten | Nau.ch German Chancellor Merz says US leadership ‘lost,’ calls for repair of relations Portugal builds Europe's first dedicated drone carrier, D João II Way to go ! AI can cure thousand-year diseases but risks are real, Anthropic CEO at India AI Impact Summit | Watch Michael Saylor's Strategy Adds 2,486 BTC Amid Institutional Concerns Over Quantum Threat To Bitcoin >>>> What he's not telling folks on CNBC is that the insane rate of shareholder dilution would pretty much destroy shareholders in MSTR.., much faster than the company itself.... Fed minutes reveal discussion of a possible rate hike if inflation doesn’t cool - MarketWatch Fed says last month's 'rate checks' were at Treasury's request | Reuters Over 80% of companies report no productivity gains from AI so far despite billions in investment, survey suggests — 6,000 executives also reveal 1/3 of leaders use AI, but only for 90 minutes a week | Tom's Hardware IMF calls on China to halve industrial subsidies EU approves agreement with London on Gibraltar That's sensible way to go ! now.. UK should replace fiscal rules with ‘traffic light’ system, says think-tank France’s Macron in India to boost Rafale deal talks, AI ties Mark Zuckerberg to testify in Meta social media addiction trial Why... ?.. Palantir Pays Zero Federal Income Tax Despite Explosive Growth, Largely Due to Trump Tax Law – ITEP Mamdani threatens to raise NYC property taxes by 10% Keep an eye on this one .. Why Carvana (CVNA) Is Down 10.4% After Fraud Allegations And Regulatory Scrutiny Emerge And What's Next Casino Royale. . Las Vegas casino doubles down on Bitcoin – The Armchair Trader Clash Report on X: "Anthropic's CEO Dario Amodei: There are only a small number of years before AI models surpass the cognitive capabilities of most humans at most things. A set of AI agents more capable than most humans at most things — coordinating at superhuman speed. That level of capability https://t.co/QfwJVXaX4P " / X

China's humanoid robots take center stage for Lunar NY showtime Markets : Berkshire issues last 13F of the Buffet-era (reduced AMZN by more that 75%), Japan will invest $36 billion in US oil, gas and critical minerals projects, ‘Woke’ AI spat escalates between Pentagon and Anthropic , Microsoft on Wednesday said it is on pace to invest $50 billion by the end of the decade, Iran talks 'upbeat'...''  Iranian hackers claim they now have videos of Trump with minors and will release them if the U.S. attacks Iran'''.... , UK inflation 'markedly' lower in Jan, Citadel's borrowings.., Google criticizes EU tech sovereignty, saying it’s counterproductive >>> markets steady, no panic anywhere.. all very quiet really, some liquidity gaps in specific risk buckets, but never seems to be spreading further, next up Walmart (earnings tom) which is currently trading on a 45 P/E... !!...seems perfectly normal valuation ?.. #TSLA needs $100B+ for GPUs to even develop robotaxis & Optimus, let alone scale them. Tesla today has only $10B cash in excess of $20B it needs to run its global operations, is no longer generating any free cash flow, and it’s losing automotive market share in all major markets.. 90% of Bonds Outstanding Yield Less Than 5%, with inflation at 3%...attractive ?... India and France have decided to elevate their strategic partnership to the level of a Special Global Strategic Partnership. In diplomacy, that means a great deal John Paulson, a major donor and tariff hawk just shut his brass instrument plant in Ohio and moved it to China, leaving all U.S. employees jobless. Hypocrisy and failure, all rolled into one “America First” headline China's humanoid robots take center stage for Lunar New Year showtime Pam Bondi Says DOJ Released ‘All’ Epstein Files — Names Trump, Biden, Zuckerberg, Tucker Carlson Among ‘Politically Exposed Persons’ Metals update Lunar New Year lull exposes reliance on Asian demand | Saxo Bank Switzerland It's time to get ready for Walmart's earnings. Here's what's new at the huge retailer. Iran says it briefly closed key waterway as it held talks with US | AP News Japan to invest US$36 billion in US projects under Trump deal - The Business Times Still need a weaker JPY ? probably not... Japan exports growth surges nearly 17% in January as shipments to China surge Christine Lagarde to leave ECB before the end of her 8-year term Likely to leave well before October 2027.. UK inflation Jan 2026 (1) The Investigation Citadel Doesn’t Want Published A white-collar jobs recession? The signs are everywhere Google warns EU against ‘erecting walls’ in tech sovereignty push UK Stock Market News: BAE Systems, Galliford Try, Glencore Trump donor who criticized offshoring to close Ohio plant and move work to China | Business | The Guardian Microsoft says it is on pace to invest $50 billion in 'Global South' AI push Apple Ramps Up Work on Glasses, Pendant, and Camera AirPods for AI Era ‘Woke’ AI spat escalates between Pentagon and Anthropic Berkshire issues last 13F of Buffett-era, enters new media name By Investing.com Sold AMZN, Berkshire acquired 5.1 million shares of the New York Times Co. in the three months through December, a stake worth $351.7 million at yearend, also increased its stakes in Chevron Corp. and Chubb Ltd during the period, to 6.5% and 8.7%, respectively Tech stocks fall as AI disruption fears hit more companies Brexit’s slow‑burn hit to the UK economy | CEPR New data shows #Brexit  has lowered UK GDP by 6-8% over the past decade. Investment down 12-18%, employment down 3-4%. It's even worse than economists had predicted pre-referendum, because they thought there would be a bounce-back long term. "Economists were roughly right on the magnitude of the impact, but wrong on the timing. The consensus pre‑referendum forecast of a 4% long‑run GDP loss turned out to be close to the actual loss after five years, but too optimistic about the longer run." Britain courts France to stay in ‘Made in Europe’ club – POLITICO UBS-Kulturkampf: Voll gegen CSler, die schlagen zurück – Inside Paradeplatz Murky secrets of Epstein's 'playboy ranch': 7,600-acre Zorro estate in New Mexico faces fresh probe The New Mexico Legislature has passed HR1 tonight to convene a Truth Commission and investigate Epstein’s crimes in NM, including at Zorro Ranch, led by State House Reps. Andrea Romero and Marianna Anaya

Kung Hei Fat Choi! - China celebrates the year of the Fire Horse! Markets : BOJ Likely to Raise Key Rate in April, Ex-Board Member Says, some kind of civil war inside #PLTR, Pentagon threatens #Anthropic because they refuse to spy on Americans..!, Spain is powering ahead of Europe’s economy GDP up 3.2%. >>> Ai fallout a MUST follow (from scarcity to abundance..) , big rotations going on, FX, bonds pretty quiet.. Geopolitics : Iran launches naval drills as tensions with US rise, Giorgia Meloni’s Mission: Persuading Trump and Europe to Be Friends. Italy’s leader is trying to stop the trans-Atlantic rift from becoming a divorce, even as voters and European peers sour on the alliance. (WSJ), Digital currencies...really?.. be careful what you wish for.. Ray Dalio below #AI The AI companies got themselves into a self-destruct positive feedback loop... Like a thermostat that's broken and just keeps turning the heat up, every hyped claim one AI company makes - the others have to make it too and then go one further.. #PLTR 13 workers left Palantir and issued this statement. "Palantir is increasingly complicit, normalizing authoritarianism under the guise of a 'revolution' led by oligarchs. We must resist this trend.", #Anthropic which owns Claude AI complained to Palantir when they used #Claude to kill Venezuelans during Maduro's kidnap as it breached their contract. Now Claude is being removed from ALL US Government because apparently it's 'no use' if it can't be used to harm people “.. With the vacancy-to-unemployed ratio now below 1.0, bargaining power is again shifting back to capital and away from workers. .. This is a marked contrast with an overall economy that is running hot.”... U.S jobs NOT strong.. Kalanovic will have his days again... could be very soon... Potential situation: Some investors think AI will kill industries like software and sell, other sell Mag7 on wasteful AI capex, others yet bet on AI capex collapse from DeepSeek V.4 or China supply and sell all Semis. Instead of lifting, AI suddenly sinks all boats >>> couldn't agree more fwiw...from driving everything up, all blindingly bullish on capex spending etc......to suddenly ... hum.. 'we all got played''... is the risk... how are they really going to monetize! all that spending.... #AI , AND/OR in other words from scarcity to abundance...why own Ai, before copnsulting robotics.. and why so few politicians even say a word about AI impact on society and economy (US jobs last year... nothing to worry about ?..Ai takng white colla rjobs etc.. ?) >>> A year ago, CDS on Alphabet and Meta didn't exist. Now they're among the most actively traded single-name contracts in the US market Nobody creates a default insurance market for fun... Iran launches naval drills as tensions with US rise BOJ Likely to Raise Key Rate in April, Ex-Board Member Says - Bloomberg Trump’s Fed chair pick argues there is one crucial reason to lower interest rates | CNN Business How Spain's economy became the envy of Europe - BBC News AI-driven stock rout could become 'unstoppable,' Barclays warns Wall Street Gold on X: "🚨 RAY DALIO SOUNDS THE ALARM ON CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCIES. Billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio tells Tucker Carlson central bank digital currencies are coming: "There will be no privacy... all transactions will be known... and if you're politically disfavored, you https://t.co/gF9YSjjnze " / X NIK on X: "🚨 OpenAI Quietly Removes “safely” and “no financial motive” from official mission Old IRS 990: > “build AI that safely benefits humanity, unconstrained by need to generate financial return” New IRS 990: > “ensure AGI benefits all of humanity” It’s over https://t.co/g8QnnAE70n " / X ....removes 'safely' and 'no financial motive' to.... New IRS 990: > “ensure AGI benefits all of humanity” BladeoftheSun on X: "Anthropic which owns Claude AI complained to Palantir when they used Claude to kill Venezuelans during Maduro's kidnap as it breached their contract. Now Claude is being removed from ALL US Government because apparently it's 'no use' if it can't be used to harm people." / X Pentagon threatens to cut Anthropic in AI safeguards dispute: Report Infosys and Anthropic Partner to Deploy AI Agents in Telecom, Finance, and Manufacturing Nvidia stock is stuck in a rut despite AI spending blitz BHP surges after strong first half Goldman Sachs plans to scrap DEI criteria for its board Another U turn .. Councils face 'uphill struggle' to be ready for elections by May Epstein files...Fascinating, or rather outright worrying !.. Sayer Ji on X: "🚨 I've spent weeks inside the Epstein files — not looking for names, but for infrastructure. What I found: Jeffrey Epstein wasn't just a sex trafficker. He was a switchboard — routing government secrets, Wall Street intelligence, and political power through one network. The https://t.co/YWGbm6TEKQ " / X

U.S. job growth for 2025 was revised down by 1,029,000, the biggest annual downward revision in at least 20 years (U.S data is pure fiction.....) Markets : MAG7 are breaking down technically, underperforming RoW and USD is weak.., ( Hyperscaler CDS demand on increase), China halved its UST holdings over the last 5years (down to $675bn), INSIDER activity in the U.S almost 100% 'sell', Retail portfolio cash allocation is down to ~14%, one of the lowest readings since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble burst, all while fund managers’ cash levels as a % of assets under management (AUM) have fallen to 3.2%, also a record low, according to BofAFM survey , PLTR glitch or hacked ?, #MSFT is now approaching the 200 WMA (something that happens very rarely) #CHF Franc’s relentless rise alarms Swiss companies. Safe haven currency’s bull run triggers fears about impact on sales and profits Geopolitics : Outgoing Dutch Defence Secretary Tuinman says if the US blocks F‑35 software updates, the Netherlands will crack the code and develop its own updates to make the jets fully European. He added he is not allowed to provide further details, VdL : the time has come to bring Europe’s mutual defense clause to life. Mutual defense is not an optional task for the EU. It is an obligation under our own treaty — Article 42.7 IBM is tripling the number of Gen Z entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption France has decided to walk back its previous decision of closing 14 nuclear reactors and instead open 6 more One must read from .. Ray Dalio, to summarise, he argues the post-1945 world order has collapsed into disorder, as seen at Munich Security Conference. We're in a "might makes right" phase with power struggles in trade, tech, geopolitics, capital, and potential military conflicts (e.g., US-China over Taiwan). Key principles: Negotiate win-wins, avoid escalation, use power wisely. Wars are costlier than imagined; focus on productivity and balanced relations to sustain power IBM is tripling the number of Gen Z entry-level jobs after finding the limits of AI adoption | Fortune This IS probably the best summary of the world today, have a read : Ray Dalio on X: "It’s Official: The World Order Has Broken Down" / X Franc’s relentless rise alarms Swiss companies Merz, Macron eye new European security framework amid US reset | Reuters EU, Ursula von der Leyen: “It is time for Europe’s mutual defence clause” - Lapresse.US Marco Rubio visits Trump allies in Eastern Europe Volkswagen plans to cut costs by 20% by end 2028, Manager Magazin reports | Reuters Palantir glitch allegedly granted some FBI staff unauthorized access to a crypto hacker's data Maybe when you commit mass surveillance across world leaders and people, some may raise and say 'nope'....clearly big is true... ... Jawwwn on X: "Palantir CEO Dr. Alex Karp: “You need a higher purpose, and I think you often need a lower purpose. @andrewrsorkin: “What’s your lower purpose?” Karp: “I love the idea of getting a drone and having light fentanyl-laced urine spraying on analysts that tried to screw us.” https://t.co/HjTweXBLH1 " / X This could be a BIG deal >>> Ai optimized, newly coded, will possibly need 5-10x less memory, compute, energy, Capex spending turns out to be a boost for shares and GDP scheme, pushed all along by Bessent/Trump... Markets & Mayhem on X: "This is a big deal. The DeepSeek 2.0 moment continues, with a grand reveal from the big whale themselves as early as Monday. An open weight model that likely is on par with the proprietary frontier models. This further calls into question: 1) AI CapEx spending w/ RoI that is" / X AI in China: INFRASTRUCTURE AI in US: WINNER TAKE ALL DeepSeek v4 OPEN-source model will likely beat CLOSED-source models in America... Unicus on X: "🚨 $STLA: What the market missed, what we flagged early and why we expect more write offs from $STLA. On December 22, 2025, in our report to our clients, we shared our analysis on why we expect STLA to take a write off for $20B (we were off by $6B). On Feb. 6, STLA annouced a" / X Alex Mason 👁△ on X: "🚨 THE AI BUBBLE IS ABOUT TO BREAK And I don’t think people are prepared for what comes next. Everyone keeps treating AI like the next internet. I don’t see it that way. To me, this looks far closer to a debt bubble, and the timing lines up for real stress around 2026. Let https://t.co/VDHwwLiA0h " / X '' Right now, the AI industry is burning roughly $400B per year, while generating maybe $50–60B in actual revenue.'' 'No platform gets a free pass,' says PM - as crackdown on social media announced

Informal EU Leader's Retreat in Alden Biesen Castle : Von Der Leyen announces that the EU will "move forward faster" and deliver results by June...deregs etc....looks like EU moving full steam ahead (yes yes, let's wait for delivery..IMHO..feels like this time it is happening...), so many positive developments/things going in Europe, it's fair to say, Europe has just launched the first heavy rocket, the Ariane 64 (why aren't EU media all over this success? the U.S would be.., Macron & Merz clash on how to solve European competitiveness. Merz wants more deregulation, while Macron wants to prefer European procurement >>> do both to a certain degree, compromise, move on, and fast ! ..Europe can only assert itself if it is economically strong – and that strength depends on a competitive industrial base (Merz), Portugal builds Europe's first dedicated drone carrier Markets : after software, logistics, transport, fins, now CBRE next in line with the 'AI reset', Navarro sees 'significant' USMCA flaws, CBRE (real estate scare), >>> 'INSIDERS' activity in U.S stocks lately is almost 98% ALL selling, U.S CPI up next, one of those moment when many contacts and clients calling and asking 'what's going on'.. meaning too many longs out there, crowded trades, all similarly positioned supported by low vols (VIX), crazy valuations (we see how quickly things can unfold)... be prepared, hedge, reduce risk, and have a shopping list ready...always... on silly sell-offs Trade : US and Taiwan sign trade agreement to seal chip investment, deal will reduce American tariffs on a range of Taiwanese food products, the 'sell America' is more of a reduce America & buy everything else globally, rebalance! ( Asian stocks have made their best start over US equities since at least 2000), Geopolitics : Russia memo sees return to U.S. dollar system in pitch made for Trump, South Africa's Ramaphosa to deploy army to combat crime, Big tech Bro's getting scared, they should be, Google warns EU against ‘erecting walls’ in tech sovereignty push (MSFT - France's Visio etc) Seriously delinquent rates in multifamily mortgages at Freddie Mac are up to 0.48%, the highest in at least 21 years. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last 2 years EU's Von der Leyen reaffirms urgent need to simplify regulations in Europe Europe has a narrow window of opportunity. Just as we acted on health in the pandemic and on defence after Ukraine, now they must act on competitiveness. • Complete the Single Market • Simplify procedures • Turn savings into investment • Strengthen strategic autonomy • Pursue ambitious free and fair trade agenda....UK better get in or much closer fast !...just saying Macron & Merz clash on how to solve European competitiveness. Merz wants more deregulation, while Macron wants to prefer European procurement >>> to do both to a certain degree, compromise, move on, and fast ! Bart De Wever on X: "Yesterday, at the informal European Council in Alden Biesen, the 27 EU leaders reached broad agreement on three urgent priorities for Europe’s competitiveness. First, we must bring down energy costs for our industry - including through reform of the EU Emissions Trading System https://t.co/Cr0MOhLoaL " / X EU leaders agree to move ahead with ‘Buy European’ policy | European Union | The Guardian Eutelsat to Take Out Almost €1B in State-Backed Debt for New Satellites Portugal builds Europe's first dedicated drone carrier, D João II By the numbers: A look at European rocket Ariane 64's maiden launch Giorgia Meloni and Friedrich Merz: EU's new power couple White House Adviser Navarro Sees ‘Significant’ USMCA Flaws - TT US and Taiwan sign trade agreement to seal chip investment South Africa's Ramaphosa to deploy army to combat crime Another government shutdown could be underway this weekend CBRE Beats Earnings Estimates for Q4 — But ‘AI Scare Trade’ Dings Share Price – Commercial Observer “AI” is a neat headline, but it doesn’t explain a 30% drop in two days. AI disruption is a slow, multi‑year margin story; this kind of move is about liquidity and the fee pool. CBRE is effectively a proxy for real estate deal and refinancing volumes, so when cap rates reset, lenders tighten, and price discovery stalls, volumes – and therefore fees – are the first things to vanish. That’s still fundamentals, just not the kind that shows up cleanly in last quarter’s EPS. The real tell is what had to change in the deal and financing backdrop to justify such a sudden repricing: this isn’t AI eating brokerage, it’s a frozen transaction market and a more fragile financing window than investors assumed, and the stock is adjusting to that reality. Russia memo sees return to dollar system in pitch for Trump | Financial Post Microsoft is building its own AI model Sarcastic Friday mood Peter Girnus 🦅 on X: "I am the Chief Responsibility Officer at an AI company that just raised thirty billion dollars. My title was created in 2023. My budget was cut in 2024. My team resigned in 2025. My title still exists because it tested well with institutional investors. This week we closed a" / X

US lawmakers slammed Pam Bondi over handling of Epstein files Markets : Investors in the Hyperscalers could soon realize their stock price was "rewarded" mainly for buybacks and not this AI spending, #JPY BoJ is expected to hike rates to 1.00% in April (BoA) >>> NFP data (clearly manipulated, perfect insider trading..just like organized crime..spread the words all week, call it super low, and.. comes out stronger than expected.. classic..) , Meta is paying $6.5 billion extra in interest to keep $27 billion in AI infrastructure debt off its balance sheet (Thread) , US House voted to end Trump’s tariffs on Canada S House voted to end Trump’s tariffs on Canada, World’s Largest Pension Fund (Dutch ABP) dumped 30% of Treasuries...not just a small Pension fund anymore..look most of them have...! ..and they ain't coming back... for a long while.. >>> a decent DE-dollarization trade in 2026 now looks on the cards, be prepared (USDputs), various #U.S brands will continue to struggle, as the likes of EU, China and others choose their own techs and products..., it's all collapsing underneath in the U.S admin... The federal deficit  and national debt  are expected to grow by trillions of dollars over the next decade, according to 10-year projections  from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Trade : Trump privately weighs exiting the USMCA trade pact he negotiated, UK and Canadian firms suspend future ties to UAE's DP World after CEO's emails with Epstein Geopolitics : China and Russia say they will take action against Israel if it attacks Iran, US airforce will use deadly force against aircraft that violate EL Paso NOTAM area if they are deemed a threat, VdL : If 27 states won't agree on Capital Market Union, I will move ahead with 9 states, US lawmakers slam Pam Bondi over handling of Epstein files, Xi Jinping: Those who forget their ancestors, betray the motherland, or seek to divide the country will come to no good end, also, "American moral scandals raise a simple question: how can someone who does not respect themselves command respect from the world?" , BYD overtakes Ford in global vehicle sales.” Just 5 years ago, Ford sold 5 times as many vehicles as BYD Germany's Merz: We must deregulate every sector. I call for a “regulatory clean slate.” Minor corrections to laws are not sufficient. We need to systematically review the whole set of existing EU legislation >> DO it ! real German leadership there! Attorney General Pam Bondi Refuses To Apologize To Epstein Victims For Failing To Redact Their Names During Explosive House Hearing - uPolitics Rep. Jesús García comes out swinging: "You're one of the worst attorney generals in our history and an instrument of Donald Trump's lawless authoritarian agenda, and I'm glad the American people are seeing who you are." Popular Liberal 🇺🇸 on X: "BOOM! Jamie Raskin served Pam Bondi a devastating reality check in just minutes. Checkmate! While Bondi sat there stone-faced, Raskin brought Epstein victims to expose her incompetence. He revealed how she scrubbed Trump's name from files, released victims' names, and held back https://t.co/9OYFlmn3o4 " / X Merz calls on Germans to work more — and draws a withering backlash – POLITICO This is real German leadership. Whilst we must remember that the EPP was the architect of almost every regulation passed by the EU, we must also cheer Mr. Merz and praise his bold vision. Brussels NGO/Consultant complex, that profits from regulation is being defeated. Macron pushes for EU common debt capacity to fund Europe’s future Software’s AI stress test: mapping threats and opportunities across US and Europe | Saxo Bank Switzerland UK and Canadian firms suspend future ties to UAE's DP World after CEO's emails with Epstein | Middle East Eye Largest European pension fund ABP cut back US Treasury holdings last year | Reuters CBO raises deficit projection by $1.4 trillion over next 10 years compared with its prior forecast | Watch January jobs report beats expectations, but details tell a different story U.S. agency contradicts Trump: Tariffs dent economic growth Trump privately weighs exiting the USMCA trade pact he negotiated | World News - Business Standard Who are the six Republicans who voted against Trump’s Canada tariffs? Real Estate Services Stocks Sink in Latest ‘AI Scare Trade’ James Wood 武杰士 on X: "“I Just Returned From China. We Are Not Winning.” That’s the headline from Steven Rattner, not a fringe commentator, but a former Obama Treasury official writing in mainstream U.S. media and what’s surprising isn’t hostility toward China, it’s acceptance. He describes: – AI" / X China has power, literally. – More generating capacity. – Cheaper electricity for data centres. – Industrial scale that feeds AI growth. In the AI era, energy is leverage Hedgie on X: "🦔 Meta is paying $6.5 billion extra in interest to keep $27 billion in AI infrastructure debt off its balance sheet. They're using something called conduit financing, where a special purpose vehicle borrows the money, builds the data centers, and leases everything back to Meta. https://t.co/GIs0hAu0kM " / X UBS: +3000 Jobs in Hyderabad, -3000 in Zürich – Inside Paradeplatz