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VIX vol suppression, illusion of stability / L.A. troubles / China-U.S export controls / U.S CPI next

  • Writer: Stéphan
    Stéphan
  • 4 days ago
  • 3 min read

  • WSJ-Export controls..... a major concern for industries worldwide—are moving to the top of the agenda of Monday trade talks between the U.S. and China

  • Markets : Donald Trump says he supports DHS Head Tom Homan arresting Gavin Newsom (surely not..), 700 marines sent to L.A., #PLAT prices highest in 4years, VIX did it, all about vol supression/thread below

  • #VIX A 63% collapse in the VIX over 9 weeks signals a regime dominated by volatility suppression mechanics: systematic vol selling, gamma pinning, and options-driven dealer flow. But history shows this level of compression often precedes a disorderly unwind, not because of what traders see, but because of what they’ve stopped hedging. The real risk isn’t elevated volatility it’s the illusion of stability in a leveraged, fragility-prone system. When volatility sells off this hard, it’s not a celebration it’s a coiled spring.

  • Trump says China ‘Not Easy’ as Trade Talks to resume today,

  • India follows China & the U.S. back towards coal as energy demand surges far beyond what renewables can provide

  • US oil rigs are increasingly going offline as crude prices fall. The Baker Hughes US crude oil rig count has dropped to the lowest since 2021

  • Auto companies 'in full panic' over rare-earths bottleneck

  • US Health Secretary RFK Jr. has removed all members of the CDC panel advising the US on vaccines.

  • China built its own ASML, Lam, and KLA in five years. No hype. No Western parts. The loop is almost closed. China’s exports to the U.S. are down 35% year-on-year in May. China’s exports to the rest of the world are up 4.8%. Trade surplus? A clean $100 billion

  • Orban thinks Russia too weak to attack NATO




Trump Says China ‘Not Easy’ as Trade Talks to Resume Tuesday

Trade talks between the US and China will continue into a second day in London, aiming to ease tensions over technology and rare earth elements shipments. Representatives for both nations had ended their first day of negotiations in London after more than six hours at Lancaster House.

·The US is willing to remove restrictions on some tech exports in exchange for China easing limits on rare earth shipments, with the Trump administration prepared to lift recent measures targeting chip design software, jet engine parts, and more.


Summary:  Not much direction in this market as volatility continues to ebb and the market can’t work up much excitement for macro data or trade headlines. Focus this week on US treasury auctions and especially the May US CPI data tomorrow.























 
 
 

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