UK inflation : relief for £ & Gilts / BoJ 'signal' / S-T tactical tops UST yields, USD, SPX500 5820 held / U.S CPI key now
- Stéphan

- Jan 15
- 2 min read

The USD has carried its momentum from late 2024 into 2025. Bank of America notes that there is scant historical precedence for current market and policy conditions with respect to the dollar. The ones that do exist suggest further dollar upside from here. However, Bank of America argues that the dollar should eventually turn lower this year >>> higher UST and risk-off lately pushed $ top new highs, a 'slightly softer' U.S CPI (this afternoon) could change sentiment, January's are often a month of two halves..beware! Tatical tops in UST yields, USDollar, looking to tactical moves / correction in equity markets too, relief rally GBP, EMG etc
And this afternoon, Rubio vows to place US interests 'above all else' as Trump's top diplomat
UK inflation date slightly softer, good news >> markets adjust immediately to 2 cuts from BoE in 2025, good for £
Trump says he’s creating ‘External Revenue Service’ for tariffs
European gas prices soar after Russian gas flow via Ukraine stops, EU to propose ban on Russian aluminum imports in new sanctions package
5 transformational trends shaping global finance/WEF report
Donald Trump Jack Smith Report: Six Key Bombshells
Spain plans 100% tax for homes bought by non-EU residents >>> that's the end of the housing bull market there then
#XAg Silver’s growing importance in Clean Energy and Innovation
Here we go again.. French Socialist Party raises threat of backing no-confidence vote against government
BOJ chief Ueda signals rate hike chance next week, yen jumps a little >>> have a look at charts, but a break sub 156 USDJPY and we could see a decent reaction, BoJ meeting is next week
Tanker rates extend rally on sanctions, demand to load Mideast oil
Rachel breathing again, good news
This afternoon - will make headlines no doubt
Good Thread Michael Green on X: "It's nice to see people finally questioning the narrative on bonds. It's China, people, not deficits or Debt/GDP. Deficits growing faster in China than US, Debt/GDP climbing more rapidly. China is running a trillion dollar trade surplus with the West and no longer buying Western https://t.co/kiAkFepyXN" / X
Deglobalisation
Decarbonisation
Demographics
Debt (lots of it..)
Digitalisation

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