U.S-RU summit Friday + UKR ?/ U.S CPI tom / SPX #riskconcentration / #GOLD reval..?/ NVDA, AMD
- Stéphan

- Aug 11
- 3 min read

As of June, foreign exporters absorbed 14% of US tariffs, US companies ate 64%, and US consumers ate 22% according to GS. Tariffs contributed 0.2% to PCE, but the impact could be 0.66% by year end
Markets : Trump Uturns Swiss Gold tariffs (as expected..), FED pricing update : we now have 2 rtate cuts priced in by year-end adn another 3 for 2026 (>> woul dbe 3% Fed Fund by hen), rice prices plunges to its lowest price in 8y, #UPS is the largest courier in the world, stock has given up all the gains from covid lows, U.S CPI next focus tomorrow (U.S PPI Thursday and US claims, US sales Friday, and U.S-Russia and UKR talks? in Alaska
Ahead of this Friday’s U.S.-Russia summit, ‘Vance: ‘We’re done with the funding of the Ukraine war business’ (The Hill) - so Europe will be paying for whatever is agreed in terms of security guarantees(?); as ‘Europe urges Trump to use sanctions pressure ahead of Putin summit’ (FT)
How Trump-Modi phone call sparked US-India trade fallout. In the 35-minute phone call, Modi clarified that the ceasefire was discussed directly between India and Pakistan
‘Trump may impose more tariffs on China as punishment for Beijing buying Russian oil’ (SCMP)
#GOLD market : it may not be a revaluation the U.S want, but nore like a #confiscation and put the gold inthe Treasury's hands.. (they are determined to merge FED and US Treasury...and they will get there, one way or another )
US Fed's Bowman: Latest jobs data stiffens support for three rate cuts in 2025
NVDA and AMD Nvidia agreed to pay 15% of their revenues from chip sales to China to the US govt as part of a deal with the Trump admin to secure export licenses...the new way..is that even constitutional ?
Largest 10% of U.S stocks now make ut 76% of total market cap - highest concentration in history, Nvidia now makes up over 8% of the S&P 500, the highest weighting for any single stock in the index on record, The S&P 500 is now trading at 3.15x sales, its highest valuation in history
Opening up 401 (k) retirement plans worth $9 trillion IS a dream coming true for private equity >>> folks putting their pensions in there now, will NOT be happy in a few years time...
The irony is that Steve Miran has leaned hawkish in the past few years/thread
Swiss Politicians Push to Cancel F-35 Fighter-Jet Deal After US Tariffs
UK : A second referendum on EU membership would be audacious, risky, and guaranteed to dominate the campaign. It would also give Labour something it desperately lacks: a defining, future-shaping offer #GBP
US SERIOUS delinquencies are at CRISIS levels: The share of credit card debt delinquent 90+ days hit 12.3% in Q2 2025, the highest in 14 YEARS
Special Situations 🌐 Research Newsletter (Jay) on X: "As of June, foreign exporters absorbed 14% of US tariffs, US companies ate 64%, and US consumers ate 22% according to GS. Tariffs contributed 0.2% to PCE, but the impact could be 0.66% by year end... https://t.co/ObnnTZ26f1 https://t.co/eWJ6P0cZvp" / X
Global Markets Investor on X: "🚨US layoffs are running at RECESSION levels: There have been 806,383 job cut announcements year-to-date, the 2nd-highest total since the FINANCIAL CRISIS! July saw 62,075 job cuts, nearly TRIPLE the 23,584 average in the 2021-2024 period.👇 https://t.co/hwEZwXkV6W" / X
Stephen Miran on X: "Major econ arguments I have made this year: Neutral is higher than the Fed thinks The Fed is not as tight as the Fed thinks Treasury issuance policy is counteracting what Fed restriction there is The reduced hiring rate is not indicative of problems with aggregate demand" / X
Otavio (Tavi) Costa on X: "It's interesting to see some people claim inflation is slowing. The equal-weighted commodities index is up 12% in the past year. That’s real-world inflation. Meanwhile, US money supply just hit a new high, and the dollar is weakening sharply against other currencies, including https://t.co/xYS56p7DeX" / X

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