Trump's Xi & Putin meetings at risk / Few cracks appearing, metals, BTC, higher vol, #VIX #hedgingtime
- Stéphan

- Oct 22
- 3 min read

Germany’s banks democratize private equity for retail clients, similar moves in the U.S this feels so late cycle..
Markets : Gold, talked about it oftenenough, was ''overbought short-term... ''still'' under owned long-term'', so here we are a better opportunity long-term (other metals too..).., Trump signals meeting with Xi isn’t guaranteed (will any of them blink first or it goes all wrong after Nov 1st deadline? china got the upper hand on rare earths, and won't fold on national pride..Trump pushed again on 155% tariffs..1st Nov..), UK inflation holds steady, JPN's new PM preparing large economic stimulus to tackle inflation, JLR hack 'is costliest cyber attack in UK history', BoE “private credit boom and the subprime debt crisis” parallels (early but not wrong..) >>> overall few cracks appearing, precious metal selloff (largest in longtime- TOUGH back to where we were 1 week ago..), BTC and crypto struggling, private equity, credit issues popping out, Equity indexes on hgihs but underneath doesn't look all that healthy, consumers struggling with higher prices and global de-globalization, onshoring etc and higher costs.. things can swing quickly in Q4, beware nasty sharp pullbacks in owned positions.. never hurts to have a hedge on in Oct-Dec time #tighter liquidity conditions underneath
Geopolitics : Trump said he doesn’t want “a wasted meeting” with Vladimir Putin. European nations and Ukraine are said to be drafting a 12-point plan to end the war along current battle lines, crude a little higher (reserve built up), its on, off, on, ...
Trade : India to cut Russian oil purchases, U.S. to slash tariffs as they near trade deal
Trump administration plans new probe into global drug pricing, FT reports
ASMZN is aiming to replace 600K U.S. jobs with robots by 2033
US pushing Private Equity onto Pensioners & now German Banks dumping on Retail, this feels so late cycle..
Oil rises in early Asian trade, buoyed by the U.S. Energy Department’s plan announced Tuesday to buy 1 million barrels for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. (WSJ)
GOLD ..overall long-term factors supporting gold will remain, CB demand, fiscal expansion, diversification needs from investors, stay valid long-term, let alone USD downside eventually, low yields
Why Europe is building a $11bn New Tunnel through The Alps / Video
This is SO late cycle .. German retail banks pitch private equity funds to small-scale investors | Business Post
'''overbought short-term, uinder owned long-term''... so here we are now Gold, silver extend rout after massive sell-off as rally loses shine | The Straits Times
Bloomberg on X: "The Bank of England warned of parallels between the $1.7 trillion private credit boom and the subprime debt crisis, as UK officials confirmed plans to subject the market to stress tests https://t.co/6CC8yeNNZo" / X
Brenner Tunnel - 11 minutes video - pretty impressive facts ! Why Europe Is Building A $11 BILLION New Tunnel Through The Alps

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