top of page

SILVER! / FED divided, the $40bn is NOT QE / #SPX500 double top 6900 / #ORCL 's debt! / Venezuela / SNB hold

  • Writer: Stéphan
    Stéphan
  • 2 days ago
  • 3 min read
ree

  • Markets : the US just changed the rules of Oil warfare?.., FED as expected but big division on future direction, on pause now, market loved the$40bn monthly purchase of TBills, it is NOT really QE (it's reserve management), Oracle down sharply (all that debt..!), Japan is hitting the debt endgame as bond yields soar to a 40 year high, SILVER $62 'what else'.. key take aways below/SAXO, tourists may avoid USA now.. just ahead of the World Cup..hummm >>> blow-off top, double top #SPX500 around 6900 area and right back down #QQQ similarly, early days, BUT watch out for a decent risk of a correction now (particularly after VIX expiry..), whole market long risk, Dec liquidities or lack of potentially etc...beware! stay sharp, before this FED meeting, we have reduced risk for clients on this rally and are awaiting better levels to step-in the single stocks targeted, valuations a little too rich, and bond market curves a worry

  • Trade : Mexico approved wide-ranging tariffs of up to 50% on China, broadly aligning itself with US efforts to tighten trade barriers against Beijing,

  • Geopolitics : US bombers join Japan jets after China–Russia drills (everyone chosing their side..), Trump also threatened the president of Columbia, U.S seized a sanctioned oil tanker in Venezuela, the US just changed the rules of Oil warfare (thread), let's call it next level piracy, new foreign policy ? might have to do with China's refinery in the Caribbean..(thread)

  • Trump think 6G will improve his camera pixels..

  • SILVER ''from monetary hedge to industrial powerhouse'

  • Switzerland REJECTS Palantir Software

  • Indiana Senate set to vote on congressional redistricting, key for today

  • #ORCL $127 in debt, $25bn due within 3 years, free cash flow negative, reported approx $12bn over past 12mos..not expected to ne cash flow positive before 2028... and P/E is still near 40

  • Trump's DOJ is dropping FIFA corruption case after he got a FIFA 'peace prize'.. natch










SILVER - Key takeaways

  • Silver has more than doubled in 2025, reaching a new all-time high near USD 60 on a rare alignment of monetary, structural and physical-market forces.

  • Tight supply, price-inelastic industrial demand and policy-driven dislocations have amplified the rally well beyond what gold alone would normally justify.

  • For manufacturers of solar energy, electric vehicles, AI and datacentres, silver is essential but represents a relatively small share of total production costs. Running out of supply is not an option.

  • Looking ahead to 2026, the bullish case remains intact but faces some risks, not least from policy reversals, relative valuation and a potential cooling in AI-driven demand





$127 in debt, $25bn due withiin 3 years, free cash flow negative, reported approx $12bn over past 12months...and not expected to bs FCF before 2028... and P/E is still near 50..






I mean, honestly...











 
 
 

Comments

bottom of page