GOLD = TIER1 / Powell under pressure / ADP weaker, NFP up next & the Big Beautiful Bill likely pass today
- Stéphan

- Jul 3
- 3 min read

Markets : UK markets got hit on possible departure of Rachel Reeves (gilts, GBP softer on risk of higher debt-spending). After the much weaker ADP, NFP next up today (likely to be softer, maybe much softer), the BBBill is going to struggle through, its a pretty tight affair to be fair ! should have a result today, good timing for some 4th July celebration. Equity markets on highs, slightly higher highs/overbought and USD quiet/stead/oversold in short-term but so far no reaction/short-covering rally, beware of possible wild price action today on an 'outside' NFP number ahead of a long weekend... July FED could be in play on a much weaker one only, otherwise market has already its 3x FED cuts priced in for later on in the year, starting with a Sep FED cut
Jerome Powell silence on his future complicates Trump Fed Chair search, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac boss urges Congress probe Fed’s Jerome Powell over ‘deceptive’ testimony on ‘Palace of Versailles’ $2.5B HQ >>> pressure is on
Amazon deploys its 1 millionth robot in a sign of more job automation, great ?
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent GOES OFF on Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the board, says they have "Tariff Derangement Syndrome" who refuse to cut interest rates
#GOLD ''own it''.. still... US Banks can now classify physical gold as a Tier 1 asset as Basel III just went into effect today
U.S Mortgage delinquency rates unexpectedly rise in May
UK Gilt yields spiked shortly after Keir Starmer refused to confirm whether Rachel Reeves would remain as Chancellor in an eventful PMQs during which she appeared visibly upset #GBP >>>> the only way you stop governments running bad policies / deficits, is for the Central Bank to let bond yields go UP, eventually it is a good thing, higher yields will for the UK to get its fiscal house in oda ! before anyone else >>> Abolish ‘triple lock’ on UK pensions to prevent financial cliff-edge, says IFS
The U.S has no realistic way to meet the huge surge in demand from AI/Video
Eric Daugherty on X: "🚨 BREAKING: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent GOES OFF on Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the board, says they have "Tariff Derangement Syndrome" who refuse to cut interest rates "We got a 50 basis point cut last September [2024], and inflation was HIGHER! [...] I guess this tariff https://t.co/jfcuKCTUzv" / X
City A.M. on X: "Gilt yields spiked shortly after Keir Starmer refused to confirm whether Rachel Reeves would remain as Chancellor in an eventful PMQs during which she appeared visibly upset. The prime minister defended the government’s U-turn on the welfare bill, which could now prevent Labour https://t.co/HGaORTYPCE" / X
Not good for jobs clearly!
Global Markets Investor on X: "⚠️The US stock market breadth has almost NEVER been this weak: The S&P 500 breadth has dropped to the second-lowest level in at least 20 YEARS. This means the recent S&P 500 rally has been driven by just a handful of stocks, and not many names have hit their 52-week high. https://t.co/xAUJFSVBTR" / X

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