$38trn / Trade tensions up a notch with China, Russia / Crude up / U.S admin:more Eq stakes / CHF 2y -17bp...
- Stéphan

- 1 day ago
- 3 min read

Markets : Trump vs Xi and Putin, got to take it day by day, TACO etc, 'hot' momentum stocks hammered last few days, from quantum, URA, nuclear, rare earths, metals, and Data Center buildout drama is getting a wellness check.. too hot and overbought !... (pretty wild swings, moves, up an down like a yoyo! trigger happy 'market'..)..Spanish debt to record highs, U.S debt surpasses $38 trillion, Brent jumped past $64 after the US slapped sanctions on Russia’s largest oil producers, Porsche reserve on EV, Roche raises guidance, TSLA (higher costs) and IBM (lower guidance) softer after earnings last night >>> quie volatile tape near highs, one sector or another's weakeness, credit worries, but so far nothing too dramatic really, that all said, if in doubt, buy a hedge or two #VIX , FXland deadly boring, CHF yields in neg territory and EURCHF 0.9250.. , market has little or no interest in FX, till it will have to.
WSJ says the administration is negotiating equity stakes—minimum $10M per firm— (pretty small?..MORE insiders..classic..)..in IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave, led by Commerce using reallocated CHIPS R&D funds. It mirrors recent federal equity moves (e.g., Intel grants-to-shares), tying support to taxpayer upside
Geopolitics : Trump says he’ll raise China’s Russian Oil purchases with Xi
Trade : U.S considers broad software curbs on China-WH (seems totally nuts.. will be TACO'ed..)
India unleashes Silver as Bank Collateral with 10:1 Gold-Silver Ratio, boosting Global Money Role
China’s rare earth exports dropped -31% MoM in September, to 4,000 tonnes, the lowest since February
BoE 's Bailey warned that the collapses of US firms First Brands and Tricolor could be "canaries in the coal mine" potentially signaling systemic risks >> we got PrimaLend yesterday filing for bankruptcy (auto lender)
The US military has already been outsourcing its wars for decades to mercenary companies. Now it's privatizing the land, infrastructure, & assets it owns, selling them to private equity firms. The oligarchy is stripping the copper out of the proverbial wire of the US government!!
Pete Hegseth gets rocked by CAREER DESTROYING news as "top military commanders" leak to the press that he has lost their "trust and respect" thanks to his "grandstanding" and ranting about "f*cking haircuts."
The Silent Consolidation: How Fed Policy and the CRE Crash Are Strangling America’s Local Banks/Thread
Why not I suppose...This looks like the new 21st centruy communism... The Kobeissi Letter on X: "The Trump Administration Now Owns: 1. Potential equity stake in IonQ, D-Wave, and Rigetti Quantum Computing 2. 10% equity stake in Intel, $INTC 3. 15% equity stake in MP Materials, $MP 4. 10% equity stake in Lithium Americas, $LAC 5. 10% equity stake in Trilogy Metals, $TMQ" / X
EndGame Macro on X: "The drop in Switzerland’s 2 year yield back into negative territory is a clear signal about how markets see the global cycle turning. When short term government debt in a country like Switzerland trades below zero, it’s telling you investors are more worried about preserving https://t.co/rCi4ntRb3S" / X
The Kobeissi Letter on X: "BREAKING: China’s rare earth exports dropped -31% MoM in September, to 4,000 tonnes, the lowest since February. This marks the 3rd consecutive monthly decline. YTD exports have risen +13% YoY, but the data does not yet cover China’s newly expanded export controls introduced https://t.co/StfCugVqlM" / X
EndGame Macro on X: "The Silent Consolidation: How Fed Policy and the CRE Crash Are Strangling America’s Local Banks The tightening pressure small and regional banks are facing today is the delayed consequence of deliberate policy choices made during and after the pandemic. The Fed controls reserves https://t.co/nYPyEJlTfM" / X

Comments