Stéphan

Feb 264 min

Key U.S PCE (Fed's preferred measure) up next / Druck & Elliott : mining-metals assets / PMI's and U.S govt 'shut down' chatters again

  • Week ahead : focus on U.S PCE core inflation (Fed's preferred inflation gauge), JPN inflation tomorrow is expected to drop below 2%, PMI's in China, Oz, Japan and EU. RBNZ meeting, consumer confidence data and we also have yet another deadline to avoid U.S government shutdown by the end of the week

  • First Druckenmiller, now Paul Singer's Elliott - the smart money's getting in mining "The mandate is to buy across all assets, including base metals and precious metals in addition to commodities in demand for electric vehicle production."

  • European gas prices peaked in the summer of 2022, soaring to more than €300/MWh at one point, prices are now back to pre-crsis levels - good news!

  • Harker said Fed rate cuts are 'near' while Jefferson predicts 'later this year'

  • The People’s Bank of China increased its reserves faster than anyone else last year. Whether it is due to geopolitics or prudence is anyone’s guess.  Nearly 42% of the more than 2800 A-share listed firms that have issued preliminary annual results are expecting an improvement in their 2023 earnings. Chinese banks in Guangzhou ease first-home mortgage requirements

  • Ryanair warns of 10% fare rise as new Boeing planes delayed

  • Forbes - Takeaways From Berkshire Hathaway’s 2023 Earnings And Buffett’s Letter

  • Nikkei - Japan stocks give boost to BOJ's case for monetary tightening

  • Merrill financial advisors' 1-year outlook is the most bullish in the history of BofA's Investment Manager Survey

  • Markets : slight 'divergence' with higher rates not leading to higher USD over last couple of weeks, equity markets enjoying a huge push last week, lead by you know who, Ifo was a little brighter on Friday, China continue with efforts to shore up its economy, U.S core PCE up next as key 'FED data', 4.35% highs on 10's UST last week, didn't seem to frighten anyone. NASDAQ 18K still a key top, SPX pushing towards big levels/year-end targets of 5'100-5'200, EUstockxx50 highs were 5'300 back in 2000, might still have room to run, DAC and CAC made news highs too
     


US shutdown risk remains with spending deal elusive, says Chuck Schumer (cnbctv18.com)

Global Market Quick Take: Europe – 26 February 2024 | Saxo Group (home.saxo)

Harker said Fed rate cuts are 'near' while Jefferson predicts 'later this year' (yahoo.com)

Technical analysis sp500 us500 nasdaq100 usnas100 | Saxo Group (home.saxo)

Two year US Treasury notes offer an appealing entry point | Saxo Group (home.saxo)

Jim Bianco on X: "Here are the probabilities of the first Fed cut over the next four FOMC meetings. The next FOMC meeting is on March 20 (brown). The market is pricing just a 3% probability of a cut. This was nearly 90% at the beginning of the year. The May 1 FOMC (green) is down to 24%.… https://t.co/TiCvzBzzgh" / X (twitter.com)

Japan stocks give boost to BOJ's case for monetary tightening - Nikkei Asia

German business sentiment brightens in February, finds Ifo (msn.com)

Trump defeats Haley in South Carolina primary, extending sweep of early states (msn.com)

Trump boasts about not resigning in disgrace and tells Biden ‘you’re fired’ in rambling speech: Live (msn.com)

Clock is ticking for Trump to post bonds worth half a billion dollars (msn.com)

China Securities Journal - 2,808 companies announced last year's results, and more than 40% reported good news (cs.com.cn)

After doubts about Alibaba's future, co-founder Joe Tsai says: 'We're back' (cnbc.com)

BYD’s first supercar can dance, self-park, comes with $233,352 price tag · TechNode

Ryanair warns of 10% fare rise as new Boeing planes delayed - BBC News

Takeaways From Berkshire Hathaway’s 2023 Earnings And Buffett’s Letter (forbes.com)

UPDATE 1-Elliott Management plans to spend over $1 bln on mining assets, FT reports (msn.com)

BP exec's husband guilty of insider trading, snooped on her calls (cnbc.com)

Warren Buffett's son Howard has given $500M to Ukraine — he warns the US is making a historic mistake by pulling its support (yahoo.com)

printmgr file (berkshirehathaway.com) Warren's own words as to why he owns #OXY and JPN trading companies

Weak economic situation: Is Germany smearing? (msn.com)

Good news is, NatGas and energy prices down!

(8) Is Europe's energy crisis over? | LinkedIn

Energy price cap to fall but bills to include 'temporary' charge (msn.com)

EU carbon border tax will do little to cut emissions, ADB study says | Reuters

The Spy War: How the C.I.A. Secretly Helps Ukraine Fight Putin - The New York Times (nytimes.com)

Ukraine war: Indians ‘duped’ by agents into fighting for Russia - BBC News

Hungary buys Swedish fighter jets, prepares to approve NATO bid - Nikkei Asia

US lenders’ debt to shadow banks passes $1tn (ft.com) ....“innovative leverage solutions”

The amount US financial institutions have loaned to shadow banks such as fintechs and private credit groups has passed $1tn, as regulators warn that growing ties between traditional and alternative lenders could present systemic risks.

China’s Central Bank Buys Up More Gold Than Anyone Else (finews.asia)

Are Swiss universities victims of their success? - SWI swissinfo.ch

Death of the business card? More and more workers ditch the status symbol (cityam.com)

Window-washing robots are working on Manhattan skyscrapers (cnbc.com)

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