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JOLTS much lower / Spanish & German inflation higher again / ADP, PCE and NFP up next



  • Spanish core CPI rises to 6.1% YoY (est was 6.0%), Germany's Brandenburg Aug CPI 7.1% YoY vs 6.3%

  • JOLTs Job Openings decreased from 9.582 million in June to 8.827 million in July and the Conf Board Consumer Confidence declined from 117 in July to 106.1 in August (>>2y UST yields dropped about 10-15bps to current 4.92%) >> The JOLTS report missed analyst estimates by a wide margin, highlighting the negative impact of rising interest rates -biggest 3-month drop in US job openings on record, Powell talked about employment 15x last Friday.. next up ADP, PCE and NFP

  • US wants to work with China to address concerns such as climate change, AI, fentanyl crisis, said US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo when meeting Chinese Premier Li Qiang

  • Japan's inflation is "clearly in sight" of the central bank's target, its board member Naoki Tamura said on Wed, signalling the chance of an end to negative interest rates early 2024

  • Biden touts drugs chosen for Medicare price negotiation: ‘We’re not gonna back down’

  • Chinese banks to cut existing mortgage rates as property crisis deepens

  • Russia targets Kyiv with the biggest overnight missile attack since the spring

  • Netflix: Streamer's expansion into gaming is 'natural extension'

  • First bitcoin ETF could be coming soon as court rules in favor of Grayscale over SEC

  • Germany : In den Sozialkassen schlummert ein finanzielles Desaster/Welt

  • FDIC plans to boost oversight on US midsized lenders : The FDIC plans to boost oversight of US midsized lenders and require them to better prepare for potential failures. Banks with as little as $100 billion in assets will have to issue enough long-term debt to cover capital losses in times of severe stress. However, only the largest and most-complex firms will be subject to total loss-absorbing capacity requirements, or TLAC

 
Markets :
  • Bad news (JOLTS and consumer confidence) was good news for markets y'day, NQ in particular, oversold levels in markets gone in short-term ! just like this

  • USD dipped initially and should continue softer, IF next sets of data show similar signs of slowdown... CROSSJPY's closing in on higher levels again into month-end, metals rallied further, Silver charts all out again with that potential big break up

  • Bonds moved a bit but honestly the deciders coming up now with ADP, PCE and NFP >>> UST supply will remain huge over next couple of months!

 













German economic policy is a clutter of contradictions and misguided shibboleths. The coalition government is offering exorbitant subsidies to profitable American and Asian semiconductor companies at a cost of €3.3m (£2.8m) per job, radically departing from Germany’s ordoliberal traditions of market primacy.





have a great day

Team PVM








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