Iran negotiations hit early snag / PALL in focus / CHF weaker, EURCHF breaking above 200dma
- sc0172
- 7 hours ago
- 2 min read

Iran talks shaky .. : Vance pulled out of scheduled Switzerland negotiations, with the Swiss foreign ministry confirming the talks would not proceed, while Israeli strikes on southern Lebanon continued overnight.
Markets : JPY back on intervention watch, FED's hawkishness pushes USD higher as you would expect, USDCHF breaking UP.. #EURCHF #GBPCHF with it and #JPYCHF (SNB can intervene more, technically looking good med-term perspective, JPYCHF PPP is far far away like 30% at a minimum as per most investment banks, SNB balance-sheet is 200bn smaller than in 2022 so room to intervene if they want to - PLEASE ASK, if you need more details on this!!), crude back up a bit towards $80 on Iran talks 'struggling', PALL back to attractive 'buy' levels after sell-off from Q1!,
Ukraine left the G7 with Trump backing oil sanctions on Russia instead of leaning on Kyiv. Europe helps Trump stabilize his Iran deal and clear mines from the Strait of Hormuz. This is transactional diplomacy
UK's Burnham says Labour has final chance to change after Makerfield by-election win for UK markets ! .. only one way Welfare spending needs to be brought under control
G7 leaders arrived in France expecting a fight over Iran, Ukraine and the next NATO summit. They left more upbeat after Trump signaled readiness to increase pressure on Putin and keep working with allies
Macro Alpha on X: "🚨 The ultimate export-driven free-trade engine of the world is officially capitulating. Berlin floating an EU version of Section 301 tariffs against China is the death knell for the post-2000 supply chain consensus. They are bleeding out from a €100bn bilateral trade deficit https://t.co/0TFmQ1sxFg" / X
This is a violent, structural regime change in global MACRO. Tariffs mean permanently higher friction costs, structurally higher INFLATION floors, and a massive repricing of European margin structures.
Musk's financial engineering, but hey why not do it when you can !

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