Crude lower / Berkshire : end of an area / 50dma SPX 5585 / Sell-in-May-and-go-Away / FOMC up next
- Stéphan

- May 5
- 2 min read

Week ahead : S&P global PMI, ISM manuf PMI today, FED-FOMC presser Wed, jobless claims Thursday, and about 20% of S&P500 reporting this week, loads of Trump stuff on Truth Social, all getting sillier by the day ! but Trump sending weapons system again after a hard reality check last week, Trump's crypto corruption intensifies as AbuDhabi firm invest $2bn, oh and let's reopen Alcatraz too
Markets : Payrolls hep lift sentiment + SPX through 50dma around 5582, both helping last Friday, crude lower again, as Wall Street banks have lowered (again) their forecast for oil prices after OPEC+ hiked output, following the massive eq rally last 3weeks, it 'may' well be a decent year to consider 'sell in may and go away'..
FED : Rate-cut expectations tumbled this week with just 3 cuts now priced in for the year, and June being rapidly removed from consideration
Buffett passes the reins after changing investing forever: Warren Buffett’s departure as CEO marks the end of an era—but his influence on how we invest, think, and build wealth will outlast any market cycle
Trump Suggests Some Trade Deals May Come as Soon as This Week - “It could very well be,” Trump told reporters on Sunday when asked whether any trade agreements were coming this week. He didn’t specify any countries..'''Trump: I don't think a beautiful baby girl that's 11 years old needs to have 30 dolls. I think they can have 3 dolls or four dolls...they don't need to have 250 pencils. They can have 5.'''
Oil tumbles as OPEC+ accelerates output hikes, surplus looms
BUFFETT SAYS THERE COULD BE THINGS THAT WOULD HAPPEN IN US THAT WOULD "MAKE US WANT TO OWN A LOT OF OTHER CURRENCIES"
Javier Blas on X: "Wall Street banks have lowered (again) their forecast for oil prices after OPEC+ hiked output. In mid-April, I argued in this @Opinion column that oil was cheap, but not a bargain: "Oil futures can still drop further. What’s cheap could become cheaper." https://t.co/yeFNwKIJ0z" / X
Not a bad area to re-hedge some, unwind few things bought 2-3weeksa ago
Adam Schiff on X: "Donald Trump's memecoin is the equivalent of posting his Venmo on the internet. Corruption in it's most obvious form. We need accountability. https://t.co/zx0XiLPT1P" / X

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