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Carlyle now / FED nomination delayed / Hormuz strait still closed.. ahead of key Islamabad talks over week-end

  • sc0172
  • 6 hours ago
  • 3 min read

  • Iran war update : It's all happening in Islamabad this week-end !...NATO Sec. Gen. Rutte briefed capitals that Trump wants concrete commitments within the next few days for help securing the Strait of Hormuz - diplomats, Israel secretly approves record West Bank illegal settlement, Trump threatened Iran for charging fees in the Strait of Hormuz, saying “they better stop now!” after earlier expressing optimism about a deal. Meanwhile, signs of activity are emerging, with two Japanese tankers heading toward the strait. (BBG), | Israel will hold direct talks with Lebanon next week, but Benjamin Netanyahu said strikes on Hezbollah targets will continue >> the strait of Hormuz is still effectively closed, ahead of weekend talks in Islamabad, going to be quite intense few days!...

  • Markets : “Private Markets’ Software Pain is about to get a lot worse-BBG'', ECB's Sleijpen: ECB will act if needed to keep inflation at target, BOJ is likely to raise interest rate in April, ex-official says, sticky U.S inflation, jobless claims are rising, personal income falling, economy slowing (less than ideal..! and the wars..), Goldman Sachs blames a future of potentially higher stock market volatility on AI (you bet..) >>> Eq markets have almost recovered as if a deal with Iran is nearly done...seems rather premature (as much as we hope so..), might be worth putting a few small few hedges on! FX pretty zz's as bonds moving in tandem, BoJ meeting in in sight in April, FED nomination coming, but not next week by the sound of things

  • US GDP growth falls from 4.4% to 0.5% in Q4 2025, well below the initially exp+2.8%

  • Japan is considering releasing additional amount of oil from its strategic petroleum reserve (equal to about 20 days of imports)

  • Zelensky officially confirms Ukrainian Special Operations forces are actively deployed in the Middle East and the Gulf!

  • CHINA: "The US is a war addict Throughout its over 240-year history it has been at war for all but 16 years US is the main cause of international disorder global turbulence and regional instability."

  • Carlyle private-credit fund hit with 15.7% in redemption requests





Goldman Sachs blames a future of potentially higher stock market volatility on AI: "We think the concentration of value in AI-related areas of the market adds to the risk of higher volatility over time as focus increases on whether the benefits justify that value. Rising market concentration and high valuations—"non-macro" market forces that factor into our models—are not direct measures of those AI-related risks, but they are symptoms of the AI-driven market, as they were in the late 1990s tech boom, and so they are proxies for the impact that AI has had on equity markets in recent years."










Another Brexit win, not



That's a big turnaround














 
 
 

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