Stéphan

Feb 164 min

RRP drain / IWM vs QQQ / U.S sales down, UK up / VdL more defense spending / DAX ATH's / U.S PPI up next

  • OpenAI is reportedly making its own search app to compete with Google/Thread

  • CRE crisis - Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG said it's bracing for an ongoing decline in commercial real estate

  • Why does rising inflation (i.e., CPI) mean little for US stocks? ..The Fed is actively allowing QE to happen right now, by allowing the USD's they printed into the RRP account 2020-22 to drain, which is being used to buy UST's / Thread

  • Weak UK GDP, technical recession, and today ''Strong January retail sales raise hopes UK already ‘moving out of recession’'' >>> volatile consumers, up & down data

  • JPMorgan Chase, the largest bank in the world (and State Street), has announced that they are abandoning the UN-backed climate group Climate Action 100+

  • JPM “.. Our central case remains that equity upside is limited from here, constrained by the fact that investors equity allocation globally is approaching the post-Lehman high seen in early 2015.”

  • A tempestuous day in multiple courts deepens Trump’s legal imbroglio

  • ECB's Schnabel: We must be cautious not to adjust policy stance prematurely

  • Russia has obtained a ‘troubling’ emerging anti-satellite weapon, White House says

  • Von der Leyen says European Commission will seek to boost defence production, Zelensky visiting Berlin today

  • Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Friday that a weak yen has its merits and demerits although he was concerned about the negative aspects of a weak currency, he even added 'difficult to identify the cause of a weak JPY'...

  • Markets, big caps 'slightly down' yesterday ( #AAPL $180 support area pretty big technically-chart below) and QQQ up, risk continues to rotate around, as U.S retail sales were softer than exp (UK sales stronger in contrast), U.S markets, DAX, Nikkei all time highs (recession calls ? no-one seems to care). FXland, JPY should stay weak(er) much depends on BoJ circus, BTC, crude, Gold, Silver up yesterday soonest yields don't go up, fairly typical reaction. Crude WTI approaching $80 again on nevus geo politics, last thing Mr Market needs a higher inflation risk on energy/crude prices...
     


US retail sales declined in January by much more than expected (msn.com)

A German bank says it's preparing for the worst property crisis since '08 as commercial real estate distress spreads (msn.com)

The involvement of German banks in the US real estate market | Börsen-Zeitung (boersen-zeitung.de) A lot of very questionable things been going on under the bonnet !

Egypt setting up area at Gaza border which could be used to shelter Palestinians, sources say | Reuters

Live updates | Biden warns Israel not to attack Rafah without plan to protect civilians (msn.com)

Ukraine Russia war: US warns Avdiivka could fall - BBC News

Trump faces a $370m fine. How would he pay it? (msn.com)

Trump ‘Hush Money’ Case: What To Know About Ex-President’s First Criminal Trial Next Month As Judge Sets Schedule (msn.com)

A tempestuous day in multiple courts deepens Trump’s legal imbroglio (msn.com)

Gordon Johnson on X: "1/2 Why does rising inflation (i.e., CPI) mean little for US stocks? Simple. The Fed is actively allowing QE to happen right now, by allowing the $ they printed into the RRP account 2020-22 to drain, which is being used to buy @SecYellen's bonds. https://t.co/7IfCgyxxJu" / X (twitter.com)

Nicely put together is plain english

Squawk on the Street on X: "Satori Fund's @DanielTNiles breaks down the #Mag7 stocks: the fantastic four on the long side and the rest on the short side with @SaraEisen, @CarlQuintanilla & @DavidFaber. https://t.co/GhOrAVhfFZ" / X (twitter.com)

Von der Leyen says European Commission will seek to boost defence production - FT (msn.com)

Russia has obtained a ‘troubling’ emerging anti-satellite weapon, White House says (msn.com)

Putin says ‘more predictable’ Biden a better choice for US than Trump | The Hill

Strong retail sales raise hopes UK 'moving out of recession' (cityam.com)

NatWest profits boom sets up government stake share sale | Evening Standard finally some good news for government's coffers

By-elections LIVE: Sunak suffers Wellingborough-Kingswood double blow as Starmer admits ‘bumpy’ Rochdale campaign | The Independent

JPMorgan, State Street leave major investor climate group (msn.com)

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway sells Apple stock, buys Chevron (qz.com)

Short-Seller Hindenburg Attacks Temenos (finews.asia)

Elon Musk's Tesla stake surges closer to demand to build AI, robots (qz.com)

Rowan Cheung on X: "Historic day in AI. First, OpenAI changed the AI video world and Google made enormous progress in LLM capabilities. Then we saw huge developments from Meta, Slack, CodeSignal, X/Grok, Microsoft, University of Michigan, LangChain, and Magic. Here's EVERYTHING you need to know:" / X (twitter.com)

OpenAI is building its own search engine to compete with Google (qz.com)

Coinbase rides bitcoin ETF frenzy to first quarterly profit in two years (msn.com)

The Pain in Silver & Gold Is Almost Over | Sprott Money Canada

Patience they say!

Urs Rohner's mysterious gold dealer breaks down tents in Zurich – Inside Paradeplatz

Life along the closed land border between Finland and Russia | Euronews

Macau’s Magic is Back (finews.asia)

Swiss train hostage gives account of fatal drama  - SWI swissinfo.ch

Very close to 'home' - good grief

AAPL - $180 area key - one of the 'shorts' within the Mag 7

46
0