Stéphan

Feb 123 min

Super bowl ad's pricing / NVDA up 1 TSLA market cap in 2months / SPX earnings / Market focus U.S CPI tomorrow

  • Week ahead : likely to be quiet in Asia with Chinese new year, ECB's Panetta hawkish, Eq futures on highs, FED's Kashkari speaks later on today and main event U.S inflation data tomorrow and UK later on

  • NVDA market cap is sup -1- TSLA over the last 2months, up to $1.7trn, 200dma is some $270 lower than current price

  • For the first time in 34 years, the Nikkei jumped above 37,000. The index is now about 5% away from taking out the all-time high set all the way back in December 1989

  • BofA : "30-second ad during Super Bowl I (1967) was $37,500, price for Super Bowl LVII $7,000,000 = 185x jump; nothing keeps pace with Super Bowl inflation but if they could... 6-pack of beer would be $340, gallon of gasoline $61, avg US house price $4.2mn & S&P500 would be 16374"

  • Some 80% of S&P 500 firms are exceeding earnings projection

  • Nato chief says Donald Trump comments 'undermine all of our security'

  • SNB total sight deposits w.e. 9 February CHF 482.3 bn vs CHF 481.2 bn prior

  • IMF's Georgieva says expects interest rates to start coming down from middle of the year

  • Trump is pledging massive China tariffs in a second term that would shrink a $575 billion trade pipeline to practically nothing. Another Biden term won't bring China much relief, either

  • Markets : 10's UST yields near recent 2months highs 4.18% ahead of U.S CPI, equity been on FOMO mode, NVDA the most incredible rise lately, USD stays firm(er), overall sentiment/momentum can swift quickly, watch out if we see a higher CPI print which forces the market to reassess rate cuts expectation over next few months
     


Inflation, retail sales, and corporate earnings: What to know this week (yahoo.com)

Corporate America’s Surprising Profits Help Propel Stock Rally - Bloomberg

Nato chief says Donald Trump comments 'undermine all of our security' - BBC News

Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 on X: "Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 12 February 2024. Find out more about Defence Intelligence's use of language: 🇬🇧 on X: "Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 12 February 2024. Find out more about Defence Intelligence's use of language: https://t.co/OvlDlvNrbQ #StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦 hhttps://t.co/8jtMRHj33w" / X (twitter.com)

New Zealand central bank blames inflation for restrictive policy | Reuters

Business confidence 'cautiously' returns as service sector continues recovery (cityam.com)

Germany’s economy is on shaky ground and there are few signs of hope (cnbc.com)

Israel's finance minister blasts Moody's downgrade of the the country's credit rating (qz.com)

Egypt will not oppose Israel's move into Rafah (telegraph.co.uk)

Rafah: Israel says it will expand its military operations all the way south - BBC News

Former PM Alexander Stubb wins Finnish presidency, narrowly defeating ex-top diplomat Pekka Haavisto (qz.com)

How Marine Le Pen turned respectable (and why you shouldn’t be fooled) – POLITICO

The DUP must decide what Brexit they want - or Northern Ireland will be stuck - CityAM

Zelensky, Trudeau, other world leaders brace for potential Trump presidency (axios.com)

How the Chinese markets lost faith in the CCP | The Spectator G.Magnus >>> With lunar new year holidays underway, relief for China’s beleaguered stock mkts after last week’s firefighting. But for how long? What might it take for CCP to repair confidence? And will it? How the Chinese markets lost faith in the CCP

Trump-Biden 2024 Election Rematch Promises Economic Pain for China - Bloomberg

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin Moved to ‘Critical Care’ Unit for ‘Monitoring’ (thedailybeast.com)

Elon Musk must testify in SEC probe of his Twitter takeover (cnbc.com)
 

Passive investors have 'fundamentally broken' the market, David Einhorn says (msn.com)

This is the No. 1 global city where expats thrive, says new report (cnbc.com)

NVDA - pretty insane, this is NVDA not any other penny stock

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