Stéphan

Jan 25, 20233 min

Oz, Kiwi, Swedish inflation higher / MSFT weak guidance / BoE PF.. / Lula questions CB / NYSE

-Sticky inflation!.. Q4 2022 inflation data from Australia : higher..headline and both of the core measures are all above expected. Headline 1.9% Q-q-Q vs expectations of 1.6% q/q. For the Y-o-Y it was 7.8% vs expectations of 7.5%, prior 7.3%. Swedish PPI (M/M) Dec: 2.1% (prev 2.0%), Y-o-Y Dec: 18.7% (prev 19.5%) and in Zew Zealand, CPI increased 7.2 percent in the 12 months to December 2022 >>> ''more must be done'' will be heard in financial markets..

-NYSE’s Tuesday trading glitch explained, hope no-one got hurt yesterday! suspect many of you missed it but it did happen

-Redrow is first UK Housebuilder to announces Heat Pumps as standard

-BoE's pension fund took a £1.5bn hit from derivatives

-The UBS Evidence Lab data measure of job openings has been moving down steadily since Q2 of last year. The BLS measure of openings has lagged and may be overstating labor market tightness (chart-thread)

-Morgan Stanley: Stocks in emerging markets are set to be this decade’s winners

-Finland ‘re-thinking’ NATO bid without Sweden causes storm

-Microsoft expects revenue dip as Azure cloud growth slows in December quarter and weaker guidance

-U.S., Berlin expected to give tanks to Ukraine; Russia preparing 'new wave of aggression,' Kyiv says

-Lula Questions Advantages for Brazil of Independent Central Bank

-Strike over pay at Berlin airport grounds all flights -operator, Italy is bracing for two days of disruptions as gas station operators across the country started a strike late Tuesday to protest against a new policy introduced by Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s government and so many of these kind of stories around..too many!


Markets :
  • SPX500 still in those same levels, MSFT guidance weak, and must be followed for sentiment across markets. Sentiment ca swerve pretty quickly, it's Jan after all and so many unknown and almost binary outcome on macro side in weeks / months ahead

  • USD remains soft overall, but all within similar levels, apart from AUD breaking up overnight

  • Bonds, in general, may start to notice unwelcome sticky inflation in Australia, Kiwiland and Sweden this morning, and this FED repricing ?


NYSE's Tuesday trading glitch explained (cnbc.com)

Lula Questions Advantages for Brazil of Independent Central Bank (yahoo.com)

not a good idea..

Ukraine war live updates: Latest news on Russia and the war in Ukraine (cnbc.com)

Panzer: Deutschland macht Weg frei für Leopard-Lieferungen an Ukraine - Video - WELT

Australia: Inflation rise means more rate hikes for the Reserve Bank of Australia | Snap | ING Think

FxMacro on Twitter: "The UBS Evidence Lab data measure of job openings has been moving down steadily since Q2 of last year. The BLS measure of openings has lagged and may be overstating labor market tightness. https://t.co/VQ9zf1HBPX" / Twitter

Bank of England pension fund took £1.5bn hit from derivatives | Business | The Times

just couldn't make this up !

Microsoft expects revenue dip as Azure cloud growth slows in December quarter (msn.com)

Redrow is first UK Housebuilder to announces Heat Pumps as Standard - PropertyWire

Tesla plans $3.6bn Nevada expansion to make batteries, Semi truck - Nikkei Asia

Japan 'seriously considering' upgrading ASEAN ties: envoy - Nikkei Asia

First Tory MP publicly calls for Nadhim Zahawi to go - 'too many unanswered questions' over tax affairs | Politics News | Sky News why is he still there?..

Nadhim Zahawi - a brief history:

“I have paid my taxes in full”

“HMRC have not investigated me”

“There was no settlement”

“There were no offshore funds”

“Stop asking questions or I’ll sue you!”

“Oh, you mean THAT £27million, how careless of me”

Amazon workers stage first-ever strike in the UK over pay, working conditions (cnbc.com)

Brunt Ice Shelf: Giant iceberg breaks away from Antarctic ice shelf | World News | Sky News

Wyoming lawmakers's bill seeks to ban all electric vehicles by 2035 | Financial Post

crickey!

Finland ‘re-thinking’ NATO bid without Sweden causes storm – EURACTIV.com

OBR reportedly plans to revise growth forecasts and warns Jeremy Hunt to expect a bleaker economic future - great! Budget blow: Government forecasters 'over-estimated prospects for growth' (telegraph.co.uk)

Classified documents found at Pence’s Indiana home | The Hill

Oz up and away - might be worth looking at AUDcrosses actually

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