Stéphan

Sep 7, 20234 min

Hot U.S ISM services / EU cracks down on the 6 big Tech giants / Equities under the cosh / Duration

  • China seeks to broaden Apple iPhone ban to state firms and agencies. Beijing intends to extend that restriction far more broadly to a plethora of state-owned enterprises and other government-controlled organizations and EU cracks down on 6 Big Tech giants. Dominant players in the bloc will have to comply with the new digital competition rulebook

  • Fed’s Collins: Fed needs patient, careful, deliberate policy approach >>> pretty strong U.S PMI services yesterday (big divergence with RoW), pushed UST yields higher, USD higher, duration, ND lower

  • Berlin did not receive a request for the extradition of conscripts to Ukraine, all Ukrainians have refugee status - German Interior Ministry - Cuba uncovers ‘human trafficking ring’ recruiting for Russia’s war in Ukraine

  • The Coming Green Energy Bailout. Renewable power operators already want rate increases for their subsidized projects >> big green energy inflation reduction Act needs bailing out already - pretty astonishing

  • EU officials will begin meeting with member states this week to outline a plan on how to impose a windfall tax on profits generated by frozen Russian central bank assets to aid Ukraine’s reconstruction

  • The UK will rejoin the European Union's flagship Horizon science programme after two years of absence post-Brexit, the government has confirmed

  • RBA's outgoing Lowe says productivity boost key to tame inflation, Chile cut rates for the 2nd meeting in a row, 75 bps decrease to 9.

  • Fed's Beige book : modest economic growth continues as retail spending slows

  • Oil Prices Surge, Set Sights on $100: What's Fueling the Rally?

  • Charter, the second-biggest cable company in the US, says the cable TV model is broken

  • BBG : Saudi Arabia continues to squeeze the American oil market, raising the official selling price (OSP) for its flagship Arab Light into the US to $7.45 per barrel above the benchmark -- a new record high. Very little Saudi oil is going to the US >>> The surge in oil prices “creates a tension between the growth story and the inflation story.” As for the Fed, “Their job has become infinitely more difficult because of this move.”

  • Chinese EVs are now seen posing a ‘real threat’ to Europe’s auto industry

  • India Prime Minister Narendra Modi wants rich nations to take a more constructive attitude on helping developing countries battling with climate change, saying it must come with action on financing and technology transfers-G20 coming up


Markets :
  • Crude stays firm(er), eventual supply issue could very well lead us to $100 oil again

  • USD stays firm(er), UST yields, RoW weakening vs U.S ISM services stronger, says it all, though clearly signs of slowdown below (Beige book). The Reserve Bank of India has been frequently intervening in the non-deliverable forward (NDF) market to make sure that the rupee does not drop to a record low, no impact of note, so far anyway >>> JPY getting daily comments from BoJ members, not that words will change anything, worth being cautious on JPY shorts and start to favour shorting CROSSJPY's from here. CABLE 3months lows, as Bailey seemed fairly convinced rates in 'peak mode'

  • Equity markets : as stated earlier in the week, 'time for a hedging trade', enough issues looming to justify timing, together with high valuations, APPL, China, US debt ceiling, EU having a go at the big 6 Techs, duration selling off and higher crude

  • 10y UST above 4.25%, alarm bells for some, if we go above 4.4%


Fed's Collins says policymakers can 'proceed cautiously' on future rate hikes (cnbc.com)

Fed's Beige Book: Modest economic growth continues as retail spending slows | Watch (msn.com)

Fed's Job Gets Harder as Higher Oil Prices Sow Doubt on Soft Landing - Bloomberg

RBA's outgoing Lowe says productivity boost key to tame inflation | Reuters

Oil Prices Surge, Set Sights on $100: What's Fueling the Rally? (msn.com)

Taiwan chip giant TSMC says Arizona plant making 'fast progress' (yahoo.com)

Chinese EVs are now seen posing a 'real threat' to Europe's auto industry (cnbc.com)

China trade: exports tumble for fourth consecutive month in August, headwinds to remain despite marginal gain | South China Morning Post (scmp.com)

The Coming Green Energy Bailout - WSJ

China seeks to broaden Apple iPhone ban to state firms and agencies (business-standard.com)

Michael Pettis on X: ""Countries that run a persistent current account deficit will eventually be forced to adjust, but there is no mechanism to discipline countries that run a persistent surplus. Yet the surplus of one country must be the deficit of another." https://t.co/o9zpzrYe04" / X (twitter.com)

Cuba uncovers ‘human trafficking ring’ recruiting for Russia’s war in Ukraine | Cuba | The Guardian

EU cracks down on 6 Big Tech giants – POLITICO

EU Challenges Apple, Microsoft in New Antitrust Push to Rein in Big Tech - Bloomberg

they have 6months to comply/respond

'I could die': German military struggles to recruit - The Local

UK 'underinvesting' in infrastructure and concrete panel crisis 'forseeable', former BoE chief economist says | Politics News | Sky News ''in need of a lot of infrastructure investments'...for a whole decade at least..

UK to rejoin EU science scheme after almost three years (yahoo.com)¨ finally some good news ! UK politicians were squabbling over fish and other nonsense, for what exactly ?..

The UK had safe water. Then Brexit allowed the Tories to flush away our environmental standards | Stella Creasy | The Guardian

WeWork begins to renegotiate leases globally | Reuters

Even Charter Thinks Cable TV Sucks Now: Disney Dispute (businessinsider.com)

Alleged Launderer Assets Seized at Julius Baer, CS (finews.asia)

The New UBS Embraces Shareholder Value (finews.asia)

Japan joins Moon race with successful rocket launch - BBC News

Nightmare ! Damaged train to be removed from Gotthard by end September - SWI swissinfo.ch

Margaret Betts: Bletchley Park WW2 codebreaker who kept 'sharp brain right until the end' dies | UK News | Sky News

Nasdaq - following script together with duration/UST long-end

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