Stéphan

Feb 83 min

China PPI down / MS on EV's / Regional banks / Mexico vs China import to U.S / Mag 7's call buying

  • MORGAN STANLEY: “.. EV demand is decelerating, suppliers are cutting backlogs, fleets are cutting and some consumers are moving back to ICE/Hybrid vehicles. OEMs are being ‘rewarded’ for pulling back on EV spend. It’s become fashionable to be an EV bear.” >>>> the good news is that finally prices are coming down quite substantially for 2nd hand EV cars..

  • TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanné on EVs: "You ask people to spend more money to get a car to have the same function that an ICE car. Why should they spend more money? Tell me."... (and this in a cost of living crisis/struggle...got to bring much cheaper smaller EV models.. should have always been the goal...)

  • China PPI dipped in Jan for a 16th month, consumer prices see biggest drop since 2009 >>> slipping deeper into deflation

  • The US imported more from Mexico than China for the first time in decades

  • SNAP !

  • The momentum that has carried the S&P to 5,000 “has few equals in history,” the standout being the Internet-fueled rally off a similar mkt bottom in Oct. 1998: Evercore’s Emanuel. He sees a host of issues suggesting 1-yr forward returns for stocks of 0% regardless of recession

  • UBS: "There is a narrative that rising equity markets are good, and falling equity markets are bad. This is not true. Fairly valued equities are good, and bubbles or disorderly markets are bad."

  • AI chatbots like OpenAI's ChatGPT and Google's Bard consume an astronomical amount of electricity and water and — or, more precisely, the massive data centers that power them do.. And according to the latest estimates, those energy demands are rapidly ballooning to epic proportions

  • Markets : markets/daily traders been piling up / continue to pile up into calls in the Mag 7, plenty of comments 'this has gone too far', value vs growth, small cap vs growth gap 'highest in 15years' etc, weak market's internals etc..all agrreed..., but what will snap this trend and change its course ? something will snap sooner or later, too hard to tell what/when for now, but it always goes too far in then end. USD should stay firm(er), USDJPY testing BoJ soon again near 150JPY. 30's UST auction tonight, 10's yesterday went quite well


AI's Electricity Use Is Spiking So Fast It'll Soon Use as Much Power as an Entire Country (futurism.com) old article Nov 2023 but still

Michael McDonough on X: "Regional banks generally face higher commercial real estate loan exposure. Not surprising, but worth noting: Exposure map https://t.co/djysdGVWCD" / X (twitter.com)

US imports from Mexico surpass China (qz.com)

Michael Santoli on X: "All the divergences that have had people twisted into knots over the past year (mega-cap over equal-weight, large-cap over small, etc.) really date to the mini-bank crisis last March. Possibly relevant as folks puzzle over S&P 500 new highs amid another oddball bank struggling. https://t.co/245x6c6lRu" / X (twitter.com)

China producer prices dip in January for a 16th month; consumer prices see biggest drop since 2009 (cnbc.com)

UK workers must accept lower pay deals to help beat inflation, says Bank ratesetter | Inflation | The Guardian >>> nice of you to say Governor! it's an easy message to others ....when you earn at least 600K per year...

U.S. Central Command on X: "USCENTCOM Conducts Strike Killing Kata’ib Hezbollah Senior Leader At 9:30 p.m. (Baghdad Time) February 7, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces conducted a unilateral strike in Iraq in response to the attacks on U.S. service members, killing a Kata’ib Hezbollah commander… https://t.co/Zhkjimx5UG" / X (twitter.com)

Kremlin corrects Tucker Carlson’s claim that no Western journalists tried to interview Putin | The Independent

Apple is developing foldable clamshell iPhones - The Information (yahoo.com)

New Vontobel bosses pull out knives: Up to 300 jobs gone – Inside Paradeplatz

ESPN, Fox, Warner Bros. Discovery to launch sports streaming platform (qz.com)

Snapchat's parent company's stock plunges 35% (qz.com)

SoftBank earnings Q3 FY 2023 (cnbc.com)

Orsted to cut jobs, halt dividends, and exit some offshore wind markets | Fortune Europe

Nespresso: police track down coke seized in Romont | 24 hours (24heures.ch)

Exxon, Chevron and Shell Deliver a Cash Gusher for Investors - Bloomberg

Exclusive: EU border agency says stopping migration is impossible | Reuters

EU and Spain to sign migration deal with Mauritania as people-smuggling rises – The Irish Times

How Trump Uses the Power and Imagery of His Presidency - The New York Times (nytimes.com)

A reminder : :-) Jim Bianco on X: "This really is a good explanation of banking. https://t.co/EUx3LFYiuc" / X (twitter.com)

SPX - it is getting towards the top of the band - overdone, hard to argue against that in short-term

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