Stéphan

Feb 203 min

China Banks cut 5y / Crude ⬆️ 4mos highs/ The Buffet indicator ATH's / Forvia / FOMC minutes & NVDA up next

  • Increased tensions in ME pushing crude to 3-4months highs near $80 again

  • Chinese Banks cut 5year loan prime rate by 25bps, to 3.95 - largely unexpected >>> local markets not particularly 'impressed' by the cuts - so far anyway, Iron Ore feeling a little sceptical on the China expected recovery, meanwhile in the U.S the 30y mortgage rates has jumped back to Dec 1 highs of 7.35%

  • Israel says it will launch Rafah assault if hostages not freed by Ramadan

  • The Brenner Base Tunnel - great Video

  • The meltdown in chocolate is coming

  • Hedge funds turned bearish on the Swiss Franc just one week after boosting long bets, amid speculation the central bank is no longer supporting the currency with purchases and could even lower interest rates soon >>> Jordan's chatter at WEF....changed view..

  • The U.S. is considering slapping sanctions on Chinese companies it believes are helping Russia fuel its war in Ukraine, members of Congress told CNBC

  • Bayer AG is planning to slash its dividend by 95% in an effort to pay down debt

  • Forvia which makes parts for half of the world's cars is slashing 10,000 jobs

  • The market cap concentration of the top 10% of stocks has hit its highest level since 1929, surpassing 2000

  • The "Buffett indicator" - the ratio of the market value of the entire stock market to GDP, has historically averaged around 65%. The ratio peaked at 88.3 prior to the 1929 crash. At the peak of the Dot com bubble in 2000 the ratio was 136.9%. Currently the ratio is 185% >> plenty of these anomalies around - nothing new - they don't matter until the market decide that they do...

  • Markets : Is the FED even going to cut rates this year ? ..must be 'a' question that should be asked during weekly risk management meetings, crude up further would also question 'rate cuts' priced, FOMC minutes and NVDA next big focus


All ears and eyes on FOMC minutes and NVDA earnings tomorrow : All eyes on Nvidia earnings as AI boom reaches historic proportions | Saxo Bank (home.saxo)

U.S - January economic data challenges soft landing narrative (yahoo.com)

and in Germany likely in recession, Bundesbank says (msn.com) though they add : ''German recession doesn’t mean severe downturn''

Israel says it will launch Rafah assault if hostages not freed by Ramadan | Israel-Gaza war | The Guardian

US Proposes UN Resolution For Temporary Ceasefire In Gaza, Advises Israel Against Ground Offensive Into Rafah (msn.com)

Crew abandon British-registered cargo ship off Yemen after Houthi attack - BBC News

Forvia is cutting 10,000 jobs (qz.com)

Ursula von der Leyen announces re-election bid as European Commission president (msn.com)

Brussels’ diluted proposals hand London a victory over clearing (fnlondon.com)

Wondering how long till politicians will call this a 'Brexit win' for the UK ... (it's a positive sure, it's not a win, it just means nothing much changes..status-quo)

Magnificent 7 profits now exceed almost every country in the world. Should we be worried? (cnbc.com)

Bayer Plans to Slash Dividend By 95% in Bid to Pay Down Debt (yahoo.com)

Biden admin providing $1.5 billion to GlobalFoundries to make computer chips in New York and Vermont (qz.com)

OpenAI's Sam Altman has huge chip ambitions. They might not work (qz.com)

Holger Zschaepitz on X: "Good Morning from Germany, where the labor force has hit a fresh record of 46mln, an increase of ~0.5% YoY. If econ output has shrunk despite this, it must mean that people are working shorter & shorter hours and productivity has not risen much. After all, GDP is number of… https://t.co/d56BHuTqbh" / X (twitter.com)

Hedge funds reverse bets on Swiss franc  - SWI swissinfo.ch

The meltdown in chocolate is coming (deccanherald.com)

The $11B Tunnel That Could Save One of Europe’s Busiest Mountain Corridors | WSJ Breaking Ground (youtube.com)

Good grief, looks pretty nasty, check out those pictures Gallery: Storms Disrupt Holiday Travel - Caixin Global

'China has a lot more to lose': U.S. considering sanctioning Chinese firms aiding Russia's war (cnbc.com)

Chinese Coast Guard Boarded Taiwan Ship After Deadly Boat Incident (voanews.com)

‘Stand with me’: Yulia Navalnaya vows to continue late husband’s work | Alexei Navalny | The Guardian

Zurich High Court overturns verdict against Pierin Vincenz - Blick >>> The Zurich High Court overturns the verdict against ex-Raiffeisen boss Pierin Vincenz. As a spokesman for the higher court explains at the request of Blick, it is not a judgment in terms of content. Rather, the judgment of the District Court of Zurich had been overturned due to "serious procedural errors"

Crude WTI

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